Value bet: Antofagasta to win @ 2.40 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAntofagasta to win46% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.37
Recoleta vs Antofagasta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Sunday 26 April: Recoleta v Antofagasta in the Primera B. In the table, Recoleta are 7th, upper half, on 42 points after 29 matches; Antofagasta are 4th (among the top four) with 48.
Current form
Recoleta, last 4: LWWW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Deportes Temuco, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Antofagasta, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Deportes Iquique, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Recoleta, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Antofagasta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Recoleta 1.2 xG, Antofagasta 1.8 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Recoleta 29%, draw 25%, Antofagasta 46%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Antofagasta to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Recoleta 1–1 Antofagasta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Recoleta29%fair 3.44 · @2.65
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.25
Antofagasta46%fair 2.17 · @2.40
2.98Expected goals
1.20Recoleta xG
1.78Antofagasta xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Recoleta 1.2 – 1.8 Antofagasta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Antofagasta to win
46%
2.17
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.71
1.70
Draw no bet
Antofagasta (draw no bet)
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Recoleta +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.90
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Antofagasta to score first
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Antofagasta / FT Antofagasta
31%
3.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Recoleta – last 4
LWWW
27 Mar
vs Deportes Temuco
1–5
L
13 Mar
vs Union San Felipe
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs Union Espanola
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Santiago Wanderers
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Antofagasta – last 6
WDWLLW
29 Mar
vs Deportes Iquique
4–0
W
22 Mar
@ Santiago Wanderers
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Union Espanola
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Union San Felipe
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs D. Puerto Montt
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Rangers de Talca
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Recoleta and Antofagasta.
What is the prediction for Recoleta vs Antofagasta?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Recoleta vs Antofagasta?
On our numbers Recoleta have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Antofagasta 46%.
How many goals will there be in Recoleta vs Antofagasta?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Recoleta vs Antofagasta?
Our predicted score is Recoleta 1–1 Antofagasta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Recoleta vs Antofagasta?
Recoleta vs Antofagasta (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
