San Luis 56%Draw 23%Union San Felipe 22%Expected goals 1.90 – 0.78
78%
Betarazi pick
San Luis or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: San Luis to win @ 2.05 – our chance 56% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSan Luis to win ✓56% · @2.05
Double chanceSan Luis or draw ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36
San Luis vs Union San Felipe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 4 May the Primera B brings San Luis against Union San Felipe. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, San Luis are 2nd, among the top four, on 54 points after 29 matches; Union San Felipe are 15th (in the drop zone) with 23. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
San Luis, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Deportes Santa Cruz, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Union San Felipe, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Deportes Santa Cruz, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Luis 1.9 xG, Union San Felipe 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Luis 56%, draw 23%, Union San Felipe 22%.
Lower-risk option: San Luis or draw (78%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: San Luis to win @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was San Luis or draw (78%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Luis 1–0 Union San Felipe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Luis56%fair 1.80 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Union San Felipe22%fair 4.62 · @3.20
2.68Expected goals
1.90San Luis xG
0.78Union San Felipe xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: San Luis 1.9 – 0.8 Union San Felipe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Luis to win✓
56%
1.80
2.05 ▲
Double chance
San Luis or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.62
Draw no bet
San Luis (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
San Luis -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
San Luis to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
San Luis ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Luis / FT San Luis✓
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
San Luis – last 5
WDDDD
30 Mar
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
3–2
W
23 Mar
@ Deportes Temuco
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Deportes Copiapo
2–2
D
9 Mar
@ Rangers de Talca
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Curico Unido
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
100%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Union San Felipe – last 5
WDLWL
19 Apr
@ Deportes Santa Cruz
3–1
W
23 Mar
vs San Marcos de Arica
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Recoleta
0–2
L
6 Mar
vs Antofagasta
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Deportes Iquique
0–5
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Luis and Union San Felipe.
What is the prediction for San Luis vs Union San Felipe?
Our pick is San Luis or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win San Luis vs Union San Felipe?
On our numbers San Luis have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Union San Felipe 22%.
How many goals will there be in San Luis vs Union San Felipe?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Luis vs Union San Felipe?
Our predicted score is San Luis 1–0 Union San Felipe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is San Luis vs Union San Felipe?
San Luis vs Union San Felipe (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
