Curico Unido vs San Marcos de Arica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 12 May the Primera B brings Curico Unido against San Marcos de Arica at Estadio Bicentenario La Granja. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Curico Unido are 13th, lower half, on 34 points after 30 matches; San Marcos de Arica are 6th (upper half) with 43.
Current form
Curico Unido, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Union Espanola, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
San Marcos de Arica, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Recoleta, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours San Marcos de Arica, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Curico Unido.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Curico Unido 1.2 xG, San Marcos de Arica 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Curico Unido 36%, draw 26%, San Marcos de Arica 39%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Curico Unido 1–1 San Marcos de Arica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Curico Unido36%fair 2.81 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.35
San Marcos de Arica39%fair 2.59 · @2.50
2.53Expected goals
1.24Curico Unido xG
1.29San Marcos de Arica xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Curico Unido 1.2 – 1.3 San Marcos de Arica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Marcos de Arica to win✗
39%
2.59
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.62
Draw no bet
San Marcos de Arica (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Curico Unido +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
San Marcos de Arica to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Marcos de Arica / FT San Marcos de Arica✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.16
–
Recent results
Curico Unido – last 6
LWDLDL
1 May
@ Union Espanola
0–2
L
26 Apr
vs D. Puerto Montt
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Deportes Copiapo
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Deportes Santa Cruz
2–4
L
3 Mar
@ San Luis
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Magallanes
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
San Marcos de Arica – last 6
WWDDDD
5 May
vs Recoleta
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Rangers de Talca
3–2
W
23 Mar
@ Union San Felipe
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs Santiago Wanderers
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Deportes Iquique
0–0
D
2 Mar
@ Magallanes
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Curico Unido and San Marcos de Arica.
What is the prediction for Curico Unido vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Curico Unido vs San Marcos de Arica?
On our numbers Curico Unido have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and San Marcos de Arica 39%.
How many goals will there be in Curico Unido vs San Marcos de Arica?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Curico Unido vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our predicted score is Curico Unido 1–1 San Marcos de Arica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Curico Unido vs San Marcos de Arica?
Curico Unido vs San Marcos de Arica (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bicentenario La Granja.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
