Recoleta 43%Draw 27%Deportes Santa Cruz 30%Expected goals 1.54 – 1.20
72%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.38
7/10Rating
1.38Odds
Picks by market
ResultRecoleta to win43% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.90
Recoleta vs Deportes Santa Cruz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportes Santa Cruz travel to face Recoleta on Saturday 9 May in the Primera B – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Recoleta are 7th, upper half, on 42 points after 29 matches; Deportes Santa Cruz are 14th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Recoleta, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to San Marcos de Arica, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Deportes Santa Cruz, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Union San Felipe, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Recoleta, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Deportes Santa Cruz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Recoleta 1.5 xG, Deportes Santa Cruz 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Recoleta 43%, draw 27%, Deportes Santa Cruz 30%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Recoleta 1–1 Deportes Santa Cruz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Recoleta43%fair 2.32 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.20
Deportes Santa Cruz30%fair 3.31 · @2.90
2.73Expected goals
1.54Recoleta xG
1.20Deportes Santa Cruz xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Recoleta 1.5 – 1.2 Deportes Santa Cruz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Recoleta to win
43%
2.32
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.81
1.85
Draw no bet
Recoleta (draw no bet)
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Deportes Santa Cruz +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.90
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Recoleta to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Recoleta / FT Recoleta
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.90
–
Recent results
Recoleta – last 5
LLWWW
5 May
@ San Marcos de Arica
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs Deportes Temuco
1–5
L
13 Mar
vs Union San Felipe
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs Union Espanola
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Santiago Wanderers
2–0
W
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Deportes Santa Cruz – last 6
LLWLLD
19 Apr
vs Union San Felipe
1–3
L
30 Mar
@ San Luis
2–3
L
22 Mar
vs Curico Unido
4–2
W
16 Mar
@ D. Puerto Montt
0–2
L
9 Mar
@ Santiago Wanderers
2–3
L
28 Feb
vs Cobreloa
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Recoleta and Deportes Santa Cruz.
What is the prediction for Recoleta vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Recoleta vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
On our numbers Recoleta have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportes Santa Cruz 30%.
How many goals will there be in Recoleta vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Recoleta vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Our predicted score is Recoleta 1–1 Deportes Santa Cruz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Recoleta vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Recoleta vs Deportes Santa Cruz (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
