Recoleta vs Cobreloa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Thursday 21 May: Recoleta v Cobreloa in the Primera B. In the table, Recoleta are 7th, upper half, on 42 points after 29 matches; Cobreloa are 1st (leading the league) with 54. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Recoleta, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to San Marcos de Arica, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Cobreloa, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Santiago Wanderers, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Recoleta 1.3 xG, Cobreloa 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Recoleta 33%, draw 26%, Cobreloa 41%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Recoleta 1–1 Cobreloa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Recoleta33%fair 3.03 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.25
Cobreloa41%fair 2.42 · @2.50
2.86Expected goals
1.30Recoleta xG
1.56Cobreloa xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Recoleta 1.3 – 1.6 Cobreloa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cobreloa to win✗
41%
2.42
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.70
Draw no bet
Cobreloa (draw no bet)
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Recoleta +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Cobreloa to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cobreloa / FT Cobreloa✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.05
–
Recent results
Recoleta – last 5
LLWWW
5 May
@ San Marcos de Arica
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs Deportes Temuco
1–5
L
13 Mar
vs Union San Felipe
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs Union Espanola
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Santiago Wanderers
2–0
W
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Cobreloa – last 6
LDDWDW
10 May
@ Santiago Wanderers
1–5
L
11 Apr
@ Union Espanola
1–1
D
24 Mar
vs Magallanes
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Deportes Iquique
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ Deportes Santa Cruz
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Deportes Temuco
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Recoleta and Cobreloa.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Recoleta vs Cobreloa?
On our numbers Recoleta have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cobreloa 41%.
How many goals will there be in Recoleta vs Cobreloa?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Recoleta vs Cobreloa?
Our predicted score is Recoleta 1–1 Cobreloa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Recoleta vs Cobreloa?
Recoleta vs Cobreloa (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
