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Deportes Copiapo v D. Puerto Montt: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Chile · Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla
3–0
FT
Deportes Copiapo 60%Draw 25%D. Puerto Montt 15% Expected goals 1.83 – 0.83
85%
Betarazi pick

Deportes Copiapo or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Deportes Copiapo to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDeportes Copiapo to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceDeportes Copiapo or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29

Deportes Copiapo vs D. Puerto Montt: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportes Copiapo welcome D. Puerto Montt to Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla for a Primera B fixture on Saturday 3 October (19:00 WAT). In the table, Deportes Copiapo are 8th, upper half, on 41 points after 29 matches; D. Puerto Montt are 11th (lower half) with 38. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Deportes Copiapo, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Union San Felipe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

D. Puerto Montt, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Colo Colo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Feb 2026) it ended D. Puerto Montt 2–0 Deportes Copiapo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportes Copiapo 1.8 xG, D. Puerto Montt 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportes Copiapo 60%, draw 25%, D. Puerto Montt 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Deportes Copiapo or draw (85%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Deportes Copiapo to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Deportes Copiapo or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportes Copiapo 1–0 D. Puerto Montt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportes Copiapo60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.40
D. Puerto Montt15%fair 6.60 · @3.75
2.66Expected goals
1.83Deportes Copiapo xG
0.83D. Puerto Montt xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Deportes Copiapo 1.8 – 0.8 D. Puerto Montt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportes Copiapo to win ✓60%1.671.80 ▲
Double chanceDeportes Copiapo or draw ✓85%1.181.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.80
Draw no betDeportes Copiapo (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapDeportes Copiapo -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.99–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreDeportes Copiapo to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultDeportes Copiapo ahead at half-time ✓44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportes Copiapo / FT Deportes Copiapo ✓38%2.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.29–

Recent results

Deportes Copiapo – last 6

WDLLLW
26 Sep@ Union San Felipe4–1W
10 Sepvs Magallanes1–1D
6 Sep@ San Marcos de Arica1–2L
30 Augvs Antofagasta0–4L
22 Aug@ Recoleta1–2L
17 Augvs Curico Unido4–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

D. Puerto Montt – last 6

LLWLLW
29 Sepvs Colo Colo0–1L
26 Sep@ Nublense1–2L
22 Sepvs Nublense2–0W
13 Sep@ Magallanes0–2L
8 Sepvs Rangers de Talca1–2L
5 Sepvs Curico Unido2–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Feb 2026D. Puerto Montt v Deportes Copiapo2–0
Deportes Copiapo vs D. Puerto Montt head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa291595+2254
2San Luis291595+1454
3Santiago Wanderers291487+1650
4Antofagasta291397+2548
5Magallanes291379+146
6San Marcos de Arica2911108+743
7Recoleta291199-242
8Deportes Copiapo2911810+141
9Union Espanola2911612-339
10Deportes Iquique299119+938
11D. Puerto Montt2911513-738
12Deportes Temuco309912+136
13Curico Unido3081012-1734
14Deportes Santa Cruz2941213-1424
15Union San Felipe295816-3423
16Rangers de Talca295618-1921

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportes Copiapo vs D. Puerto Montt?

Our pick is Deportes Copiapo or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Deportes Copiapo vs D. Puerto Montt?

On our numbers Deportes Copiapo have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and D. Puerto Montt 15%.

How many goals will there be in Deportes Copiapo vs D. Puerto Montt?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportes Copiapo vs D. Puerto Montt?

Our predicted score is Deportes Copiapo 1–0 D. Puerto Montt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Deportes Copiapo vs D. Puerto Montt?

Deportes Copiapo vs D. Puerto Montt (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.