Double chanceSan Marcos de Arica or draw ✗90% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.22
San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Thursday 13 August: San Marcos de Arica v Union San Felipe in the Primera B, played at Estadio Carlos Dittborn. In the table, San Marcos de Arica are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 29 matches; Union San Felipe are 15th (in the drop zone) with 23. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
San Marcos de Arica, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Santiago Wanderers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Union San Felipe, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Recoleta, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours San Marcos de Arica, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Union San Felipe.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Mar 2026) it ended Union San Felipe 1–1 San Marcos de Arica.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Marcos de Arica 1.9 xG, Union San Felipe 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Marcos de Arica 68%, draw 22%, Union San Felipe 10%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Marcos de Arica 1–0 Union San Felipe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Marcos de Arica68%fair 1.46 · @1.45
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.90
Union San Felipe10%fair 10.42 · @6.50
2.47Expected goals
1.89San Marcos de Arica xG
0.57Union San Felipe xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: San Marcos de Arica 1.9 – 0.6 Union San Felipe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe?
On our numbers San Marcos de Arica have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Union San Felipe 10%.
How many goals will there be in San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe?
Our predicted score is San Marcos de Arica 1–0 Union San Felipe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe?
San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
