Curico Unido 61%Draw 21%Union San Felipe 18%Expected goals 1.74 – 0.81
82%
Betarazi pick
Curico Unido or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Curico Unido to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCurico Unido to win ✓61% · @1.91
Double chanceCurico Unido or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Curico Unido vs Union San Felipe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Union San Felipe travel to face Curico Unido on Monday 24 August in the Primera B, with Estadio Bicentenario La Granja the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Curico Unido are 13th, lower half, on 34 points after 30 matches; Union San Felipe are 15th (in the drop zone) with 23.
Current form
Curico Unido, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Deportes Copiapo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Union San Felipe, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cobreloa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Curico Unido 1.7 xG, Union San Felipe 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Curico Unido 61%, draw 21%, Union San Felipe 18%.
Lower-risk option: Curico Unido or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Curico Unido to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Curico Unido or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Curico Unido 1–0 Union San Felipe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Curico Unido61%fair 1.64 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.30
Union San Felipe18%fair 5.41 · @3.60
2.55Expected goals
1.74Curico Unido xG
0.81Union San Felipe xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Curico Unido 1.7 – 0.8 Union San Felipe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Curico Unido to win✓
61%
1.64
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Curico Unido or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.73
Draw no bet
Curico Unido (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Union San Felipe +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Curico Unido to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Curico Unido ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Curico Unido / FT Curico Unido✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.44
–
Recent results
Curico Unido – last 6
LLDWDL
17 Aug
@ Deportes Copiapo
0–4
L
14 Aug
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Rangers de Talca
0–0
D
5 Aug
@ Universidad de Concepcion
3–1
W
1 Aug
vs Cobreloa
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs San Luis
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Union San Felipe – last 6
LWDLLL
16 Aug
vs Cobreloa
0–1
L
13 Aug
@ San Marcos de Arica
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Recoleta
0–0
D
5 Aug
vs Universidad de Chile
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Antofagasta
1–5
L
25 Jul
@ Santiago Wanderers
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Curico Unido and Union San Felipe.
What is the prediction for Curico Unido vs Union San Felipe?
Our pick is Curico Unido or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Curico Unido vs Union San Felipe?
On our numbers Curico Unido have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Union San Felipe 18%.
How many goals will there be in Curico Unido vs Union San Felipe?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Curico Unido vs Union San Felipe?
Our predicted score is Curico Unido 1–0 Union San Felipe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Curico Unido vs Union San Felipe?
Curico Unido vs Union San Felipe (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bicentenario La Granja.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
