Value bet: Cobreloa to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCobreloa to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceCobreloa or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.53
Cobreloa vs San Marcos de Arica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Marcos de Arica travel to face Cobreloa on Tuesday 1 September in the Primera B, with Estadio Zorros del Desierto the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Cobreloa are 1st, leading the league, on 54 points after 29 matches; San Marcos de Arica are 6th (upper half) with 43.
Current form
Cobreloa, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Union Espanola, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
San Marcos de Arica, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Rangers de Talca, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Cobreloa, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for San Marcos de Arica.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cobreloa 1.8 xG, San Marcos de Arica 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cobreloa 61%, draw 24%, San Marcos de Arica 16%.
Lower-risk option: Cobreloa or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Cobreloa to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cobreloa 1–0 San Marcos de Arica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cobreloa61%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.35
San Marcos de Arica16%fair 6.37 · @3.80
2.53Expected goals
1.76Cobreloa xG
0.77San Marcos de Arica xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Cobreloa 1.8 – 0.8 San Marcos de Arica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cobreloa to win✓
61%
1.65
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Cobreloa or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.80
Draw no bet
Cobreloa (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Cobreloa -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Cobreloa to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Cobreloa ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cobreloa / FT Cobreloa✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.53
–
Recent results
Cobreloa – last 6
LWDDDW
22 Aug
vs Union Espanola
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Union San Felipe
1–0
W
12 Aug
@ Magallanes
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Deportes Iquique
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Curico Unido
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
4–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Marcos de Arica – last 6
LLLDLD
22 Aug
vs Rangers de Talca
1–2
L
16 Aug
@ Union Espanola
1–2
L
13 Aug
vs Union San Felipe
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Santiago Wanderers
1–1
D
6 Aug
@ Coquimbo Unido
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Deportes Iquique
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cobreloa and San Marcos de Arica.
What is the prediction for Cobreloa vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cobreloa vs San Marcos de Arica?
On our numbers Cobreloa have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and San Marcos de Arica 16%.
How many goals will there be in Cobreloa vs San Marcos de Arica?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cobreloa vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our predicted score is Cobreloa 1–0 San Marcos de Arica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cobreloa vs San Marcos de Arica?
Cobreloa vs San Marcos de Arica (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Zorros del Desierto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
