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Union San Felipe v Deportes Santa Cruz: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Chile · Estadio Municipal de San Felipe
Union San Felipe 41%Draw 24%Deportes Santa Cruz 35% Expected goals 1.41 – 1.28
57%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultUnion San Felipe to win ✗41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.60

Union San Felipe vs Deportes Santa Cruz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Union San Felipe welcome Deportes Santa Cruz to Estadio Municipal de San Felipe for a Primera B fixture on Saturday 29 August (17:30 WAT). In the table, Union San Felipe are 15th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 29 matches; Deportes Santa Cruz are 14th (in the drop zone) with 24. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Union San Felipe, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Curico Unido, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Deportes Santa Cruz, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Magallanes, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Deportes Santa Cruz 1–3 Union San Felipe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Union San Felipe 1.4 xG, Deportes Santa Cruz 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Union San Felipe 41%, draw 24%, Deportes Santa Cruz 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.75, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union San Felipe 1–1 Deportes Santa Cruz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Union San Felipe41%fair 2.46 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.90
Deportes Santa Cruz35%fair 2.85 · @2.62
2.69Expected goals
1.41Union San Felipe xG
1.28Deportes Santa Cruz xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Union San Felipe 1.4 – 1.3 Deportes Santa Cruz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnion San Felipe to win ✗41%2.462.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.751.80
Draw no betUnion San Felipe (draw no bet)54%1.86–
Asian handicapDeportes Santa Cruz +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗50%1.98–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreUnion San Felipe to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Union San Felipe / FT Union San Felipe ✗23%4.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.60–

Recent results

Union San Felipe – last 6

LLWDLL
24 Aug@ Curico Unido0–2L
16 Augvs Cobreloa0–1L
13 Aug@ San Marcos de Arica1–0W
8 Augvs Recoleta0–0D
5 Augvs Universidad de Chile0–1L
1 Aug@ Antofagasta1–5L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Deportes Santa Cruz – last 6

LLWDLL
22 Aug@ Magallanes0–1L
17 Augvs San Luis0–2L
14 Aug@ Curico Unido2–1W
8 Augvs D. Puerto Montt0–0D
2 Augvs Santiago Wanderers1–3L
25 Jul@ Cobreloa2–4L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Deportes Santa Cruz v Union San Felipe1–3
Union San Felipe vs Deportes Santa Cruz head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa291595+2254
2San Luis291595+1454
3Santiago Wanderers291487+1650
4Antofagasta291397+2548
5Magallanes291379+146
6San Marcos de Arica2911108+743
7Recoleta291199-242
8Deportes Copiapo2911810+141
9Union Espanola2911612-339
10Deportes Iquique299119+938
11D. Puerto Montt2911513-738
12Deportes Temuco309912+136
13Curico Unido3081012-1734
14Deportes Santa Cruz2941213-1424
15Union San Felipe295816-3423
16Rangers de Talca295618-1921

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union San Felipe vs Deportes Santa Cruz?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Union San Felipe vs Deportes Santa Cruz?

On our numbers Union San Felipe have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportes Santa Cruz 35%.

How many goals will there be in Union San Felipe vs Deportes Santa Cruz?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Union San Felipe vs Deportes Santa Cruz?

Our predicted score is Union San Felipe 1–1 Deportes Santa Cruz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Union San Felipe vs Deportes Santa Cruz?

Union San Felipe vs Deportes Santa Cruz (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.