Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Union Espanola to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportes Santa Cruz to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.80
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Union Espanola: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Deportes Santa Cruz v Union Espanola in the Primera B. In the table, Deportes Santa Cruz are 14th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 29 matches; Union Espanola are 9th (lower half) with 39. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Deportes Santa Cruz, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Union San Felipe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Union Espanola, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rangers de Talca, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Union Espanola, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Deportes Santa Cruz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportes Santa Cruz 1.4 xG, Union Espanola 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportes Santa Cruz 41%, draw 22%, Union Espanola 37%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Union Espanola to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportes Santa Cruz 1–1 Union Espanola. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportes Santa Cruz41%fair 2.47 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
Union Espanola37%fair 2.70 · @3.00
2.68Expected goals
1.38Deportes Santa Cruz xG
1.30Union Espanola xG
62%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Deportes Santa Cruz 1.4 – 1.3 Union Espanola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportes Santa Cruz to win✗
41%
2.47
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.63
1.67
Draw no bet
Deportes Santa Cruz (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Union Espanola +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Deportes Santa Cruz to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportes Santa Cruz / FT Deportes Santa Cruz✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.80
–
Recent results
Deportes Santa Cruz – last 6
DLLWDL
29 Aug
@ Union San Felipe
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Magallanes
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs San Luis
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ Curico Unido
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs D. Puerto Montt
0–0
D
2 Aug
vs Santiago Wanderers
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Union Espanola – last 6
LLWWWL
29 Aug
vs Rangers de Talca
0–1
L
27 Aug
@ Colo Colo
0–3
L
22 Aug
@ Cobreloa
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs San Marcos de Arica
2–1
W
12 Aug
@ D. Puerto Montt
1–0
W
7 Aug
vs Antofagasta
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportes Santa Cruz and Union Espanola.
What is the prediction for Deportes Santa Cruz vs Union Espanola?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Deportes Santa Cruz vs Union Espanola?
On our numbers Deportes Santa Cruz have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Union Espanola 37%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Santa Cruz vs Union Espanola?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Santa Cruz vs Union Espanola?
Our predicted score is Deportes Santa Cruz 1–1 Union Espanola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Deportes Santa Cruz vs Union Espanola?
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Union Espanola (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
