San Marcos de Arica 59%Draw 23%Deportes Copiapo 18%Expected goals 1.70 – 0.82
82%
Betarazi pick
San Marcos de Arica or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: San Marcos de Arica to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSan Marcos de Arica to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceSan Marcos de Arica or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.31
San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Copiapo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Marcos de Arica welcome Deportes Copiapo to Estadio Carlos Dittborn for a Primera B fixture on Sunday 6 September (01:00 WAT). In the table, San Marcos de Arica are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 29 matches; Deportes Copiapo are 8th (upper half) with 41. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
San Marcos de Arica, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cobreloa, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Deportes Copiapo, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Antofagasta, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Deportes Copiapo, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for San Marcos de Arica.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Marcos de Arica 1.7 xG, Deportes Copiapo 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Marcos de Arica 59%, draw 23%, Deportes Copiapo 18%.
Lower-risk option: San Marcos de Arica or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: San Marcos de Arica to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was San Marcos de Arica or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Marcos de Arica 1–0 Deportes Copiapo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Marcos de Arica59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Deportes Copiapo18%fair 5.45 · @4.00
2.52Expected goals
1.70San Marcos de Arica xG
0.82Deportes Copiapo xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: San Marcos de Arica 1.7 – 0.8 Deportes Copiapo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Marcos de Arica to win✓
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Double chance
San Marcos de Arica or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.83
Draw no bet
San Marcos de Arica (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Deportes Copiapo +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
San Marcos de Arica to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Marcos de Arica / FT San Marcos de Arica✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.31
–
Recent results
San Marcos de Arica – last 6
LLLLDL
1 Sep
@ Cobreloa
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Rangers de Talca
1–2
L
16 Aug
@ Union Espanola
1–2
L
13 Aug
vs Union San Felipe
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Santiago Wanderers
1–1
D
6 Aug
@ Coquimbo Unido
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Deportes Copiapo – last 6
LLWLDW
30 Aug
vs Antofagasta
0–4
L
22 Aug
@ Recoleta
1–2
L
17 Aug
vs Curico Unido
4–0
W
14 Aug
@ Deportes Iquique
0–4
L
9 Aug
vs San Luis
1–1
D
4 Aug
@ Deportes Temuco
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Marcos de Arica and Deportes Copiapo.
What is the prediction for San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Copiapo?
Our pick is San Marcos de Arica or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Copiapo?
On our numbers San Marcos de Arica have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deportes Copiapo 18%.
How many goals will there be in San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Copiapo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Copiapo?
Our predicted score is San Marcos de Arica 1–0 Deportes Copiapo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Copiapo?
San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Copiapo (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
