Value bet: San Luis to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSan Luis to win ✓48% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.80
Union San Felipe vs San Luis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:00 WAT, Wednesday 30 September: Union San Felipe v San Luis in the Primera B, played at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe. In the table, Union San Felipe are 15th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 29 matches; San Luis are 2nd (among the top four) with 54. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union San Felipe, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Deportes Copiapo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
San Luis, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Antofagasta, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours San Luis, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Union San Felipe.
Head to head
When they last met (4 May 2026) it ended San Luis 4–0 Union San Felipe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union San Felipe 1.1 xG, San Luis 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union San Felipe 27%, draw 24%, San Luis 48%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: San Luis to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union San Felipe 1–1 San Luis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union San Felipe27%fair 3.66 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.90
San Luis48%fair 2.07 · @2.25
2.58Expected goals
1.07Union San Felipe xG
1.51San Luis xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Union San Felipe 1.1 – 1.5 San Luis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Union San Felipe vs San Luis?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Union San Felipe vs San Luis?
On our numbers Union San Felipe have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and San Luis 48%.
How many goals will there be in Union San Felipe vs San Luis?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union San Felipe vs San Luis?
Our predicted score is Union San Felipe 1–1 San Luis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Union San Felipe vs San Luis?
Union San Felipe vs San Luis (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
