Deportes Santa Cruz 36%Draw 23%Recoleta 40%Expected goals 1.34 – 1.43
58%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Recoleta to win @ 3.10 – our chance 40% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRecoleta to win ✗40% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.64
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 14 September the Primera B brings Deportes Santa Cruz against Recoleta. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Deportes Santa Cruz are 14th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 29 matches; Recoleta are 7th (upper half) with 42. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Deportes Santa Cruz, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportes Iquique, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Recoleta, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over San Marcos de Arica, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Recoleta, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Deportes Santa Cruz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportes Santa Cruz 1.3 xG, Recoleta 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportes Santa Cruz 36%, draw 23%, Recoleta 40%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Recoleta to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportes Santa Cruz 1–1 Recoleta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportes Santa Cruz36%fair 2.76 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Recoleta40%fair 2.47 · @3.10
2.77Expected goals
1.34Deportes Santa Cruz xG
1.43Recoleta xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Deportes Santa Cruz 1.3 – 1.4 Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Recoleta to win✗
40%
2.47
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.67
Draw no bet
Recoleta (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Deportes Santa Cruz +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Recoleta to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Recoleta / FT Recoleta✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.64
–
Recent results
Deportes Santa Cruz – last 6
WDDLLW
10 Sep
@ Deportes Iquique
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Union Espanola
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Union San Felipe
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Magallanes
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs San Luis
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ Curico Unido
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Recoleta – last 6
WWDLWD
9 Sep
vs San Marcos de Arica
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Antofagasta
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Curico Unido
0–0
D
27 Aug
vs O'Higgins
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Deportes Copiapo
2–1
W
18 Aug
@ Deportes Temuco
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportes Santa Cruz and Recoleta.
What is the prediction for Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta?
On our numbers Deportes Santa Cruz have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Recoleta 40%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta?
Our predicted score is Deportes Santa Cruz 1–1 Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta?
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
