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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Magallanes v D. Puerto Montt: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Chile · Estadio Santiago Bueras
2–0
FT
Magallanes 60%Draw 21%D. Puerto Montt 19% Expected goals 1.83 – 0.92
81%
Betarazi pick

Magallanes or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Magallanes to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMagallanes to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceMagallanes or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15

Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Magallanes welcome D. Puerto Montt to Estadio Santiago Bueras for a Primera B fixture on Sunday 13 September (16:30 WAT). In the table, Magallanes are 5th, upper half, on 46 points after 29 matches; D. Puerto Montt are 11th (lower half) with 38.

Current form

Magallanes, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportes Copiapo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

D. Puerto Montt, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Rangers de Talca, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Magallanes, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for D. Puerto Montt.

Head to head

When they last met (9 May 2026) it ended D. Puerto Montt 2–0 Magallanes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Magallanes 1.8 xG, D. Puerto Montt 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Magallanes 60%, draw 21%, D. Puerto Montt 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Magallanes or draw (81%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Magallanes to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Magallanes or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Magallanes 1–0 D. Puerto Montt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Magallanes60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.20
D. Puerto Montt19%fair 5.15 · @3.80
2.75Expected goals
1.83Magallanes xG
0.92D. Puerto Montt xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%

From our goals model: Magallanes 1.8 – 0.9 D. Puerto Montt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMagallanes to win ✓60%1.671.85 ▲
Double chanceMagallanes or draw ✓81%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.831.75
Draw no betMagallanes (draw no bet) ✓75%1.32–
Asian handicapD. Puerto Montt +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreMagallanes to score first ✓62%1.60–
Half-time resultMagallanes ahead at half-time ✓42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Magallanes / FT Magallanes ✓37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.15–

Recent results

Magallanes – last 6

DDLWWD
10 Sep@ Deportes Copiapo1–1D
5 Sepvs Union San Felipe0–0D
29 Aug@ Santiago Wanderers1–2L
22 Augvs Deportes Santa Cruz1–0W
15 Aug@ Rangers de Talca3–2W
12 Augvs Cobreloa2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

D. Puerto Montt – last 6

LWLLDL
8 Sepvs Rangers de Talca1–2L
5 Sepvs Curico Unido2–0W
30 Aug@ Deportes Temuco1–3L
22 Augvs Deportes Iquique0–4L
16 Aug@ Santiago Wanderers1–1D
12 Augvs Union Espanola0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 May 2026D. Puerto Montt v Magallanes2–0
Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa291595+2254
2San Luis291595+1454
3Santiago Wanderers291487+1650
4Antofagasta291397+2548
5Magallanes291379+146
6San Marcos de Arica2911108+743
7Recoleta291199-242
8Deportes Copiapo2911810+141
9Union Espanola2911612-339
10Deportes Iquique299119+938
11D. Puerto Montt2911513-738
12Deportes Temuco309912+136
13Curico Unido3081012-1734
14Deportes Santa Cruz2941213-1424
15Union San Felipe295816-3423
16Rangers de Talca295618-1921

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt?

Our pick is Magallanes or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt?

On our numbers Magallanes have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and D. Puerto Montt 19%.

How many goals will there be in Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt?

Our predicted score is Magallanes 1–0 D. Puerto Montt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt?

Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santiago Bueras.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.