Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Antofagasta to win @ 1.83 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAntofagasta to win ✓63% · @1.83
Double chanceAntofagasta or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.56
Antofagasta vs San Marcos de Arica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Antofagasta v San Marcos de Arica in the Primera B, played at Estadio Regional de Antofagasta. In the table, Antofagasta are 4th, among the top four, on 48 points after 29 matches; San Marcos de Arica are 6th (upper half) with 43.
Current form
Antofagasta, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Universidad de Chile, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
San Marcos de Arica, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Deportes Santa Cruz, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended San Marcos de Arica 1–1 Antofagasta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Antofagasta 1.7 xG, San Marcos de Arica 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Antofagasta 63%, draw 23%, San Marcos de Arica 14%.
Lower-risk option: Antofagasta or draw (86%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Antofagasta to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Antofagasta or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Antofagasta 1–0 San Marcos de Arica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Antofagasta63%fair 1.59 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.20
San Marcos de Arica14%fair 7.04 · @3.90
2.44Expected goals
1.75Antofagasta xG
0.69San Marcos de Arica xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Antofagasta 1.7 – 0.7 San Marcos de Arica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Antofagasta vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our pick is Antofagasta or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Antofagasta vs San Marcos de Arica?
On our numbers Antofagasta have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Marcos de Arica 14%.
How many goals will there be in Antofagasta vs San Marcos de Arica?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antofagasta vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our predicted score is Antofagasta 1–0 San Marcos de Arica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Antofagasta vs San Marcos de Arica?
Antofagasta vs San Marcos de Arica (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Regional de Antofagasta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
