Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultCobreloa to win ✓58% · @1.73
Double chanceCobreloa or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Cobreloa vs Recoleta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Cobreloa v Recoleta in the Primera B, played at Estadio Zorros del Desierto. In the table, Cobreloa are 1st, leading the league, on 54 points after 29 matches; Recoleta are 7th (upper half) with 42. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cobreloa, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Deportes Copiapo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Recoleta, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Magallanes, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Recoleta, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Cobreloa.
Head to head
When they last met (21 May 2026) it ended Recoleta 2–2 Cobreloa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cobreloa 1.8 xG, Recoleta 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cobreloa 58%, draw 22%, Recoleta 20%.
Lower-risk option: Cobreloa or draw (80%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cobreloa or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cobreloa 1–0 Recoleta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cobreloa58%fair 1.74 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
Recoleta20%fair 4.98 · @4.20
2.76Expected goals
1.80Cobreloa xG
0.96Recoleta xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Cobreloa 1.8 – 1.0 Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Cobreloa or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cobreloa vs Recoleta?
On our numbers Cobreloa have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Recoleta 20%.
How many goals will there be in Cobreloa vs Recoleta?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cobreloa vs Recoleta?
Our predicted score is Cobreloa 1–0 Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cobreloa vs Recoleta?
Cobreloa vs Recoleta (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Zorros del Desierto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
