San Marcos de Arica 59%Draw 24%D. Puerto Montt 17%Expected goals 1.56 – 0.68
59%
Betarazi pick
San Marcos de Arica to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultSan Marcos de Arica to win ✗59% · @1.67
Double chanceSan Marcos de Arica or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.34
San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: San Marcos de Arica v D. Puerto Montt in the Primera B, played at Estadio Carlos Dittborn. In the table, San Marcos de Arica are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 29 matches; D. Puerto Montt are 11th (lower half) with 38.
Current form
San Marcos de Arica, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Antofagasta, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
D. Puerto Montt, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to San Luis, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours San Marcos de Arica, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for D. Puerto Montt.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended D. Puerto Montt 0–2 San Marcos de Arica.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Marcos de Arica 1.6 xG, D. Puerto Montt 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Marcos de Arica 59%, draw 24%, D. Puerto Montt 17%.
Lower-risk option: San Marcos de Arica or draw (83%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was San Marcos de Arica to win (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Marcos de Arica 1–0 D. Puerto Montt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Marcos de Arica59%fair 1.69 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.25
D. Puerto Montt17%fair 5.91 · @5.00
2.24Expected goals
1.56San Marcos de Arica xG
0.68D. Puerto Montt xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: San Marcos de Arica 1.6 – 0.7 D. Puerto Montt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt?
Our pick is San Marcos de Arica to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt?
On our numbers San Marcos de Arica have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and D. Puerto Montt 17%.
How many goals will there be in San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt?
Our predicted score is San Marcos de Arica 1–0 D. Puerto Montt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt?
San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
