San Luis 59%Draw 21%Recoleta 19%Expected goals 1.83 – 0.92
59%
Betarazi pick
San Luis to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultSan Luis to win ✗59% · @1.57
Double chanceSan Luis or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
San Luis vs Recoleta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:30 WAT, Saturday 24 October: San Luis v Recoleta in the Primera B. In the table, San Luis are 2nd, among the top four, on 54 points after 29 matches; Recoleta are 7th (upper half) with 42. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
San Luis, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Magallanes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Recoleta, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Cobreloa, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours San Luis, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for Recoleta.
Head to head
When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended Recoleta 0–0 San Luis.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Luis 1.8 xG, Recoleta 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Luis 59%, draw 21%, Recoleta 19%.
Lower-risk option: San Luis or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was San Luis to win (59%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Luis 1–0 Recoleta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Luis59%fair 1.69 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.75
Recoleta19%fair 5.15 · @4.80
2.75Expected goals
1.83San Luis xG
0.92Recoleta xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: San Luis 1.8 – 0.9 Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is San Luis to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win San Luis vs Recoleta?
On our numbers San Luis have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Recoleta 19%.
How many goals will there be in San Luis vs Recoleta?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Luis vs Recoleta?
Our predicted score is San Luis 1–0 Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is San Luis vs Recoleta?
San Luis vs Recoleta (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
