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San Marcos de Arica v San Luis: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Chile · Estadio Carlos Dittborn
Sun 15 Nov 2026
San Marcos de Arica 35%Draw 27%San Luis 39% Expected goals 0.99 – 1.11
73%
Betarazi pick

Either team to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37

8/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultSan Luis to win39% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win73% · fair 1.37
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–114% · fair 7.33

San Marcos de Arica vs San Luis: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Sunday 15 November: San Marcos de Arica v San Luis in the Primera B, played at Estadio Carlos Dittborn. In the table, San Marcos de Arica are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 29 matches; San Luis are 2nd (among the top four) with 54.

Current form

San Marcos de Arica, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Deportes Temuco, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

San Luis, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Recoleta, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours San Luis, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for San Marcos de Arica.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Jun 2026) it ended San Luis 1–0 San Marcos de Arica.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Marcos de Arica 1.0 xG, San Luis 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – San Marcos de Arica 35%, draw 27%, San Luis 39%.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Either team to win (73%). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Marcos de Arica 0–1 San Luis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Marcos de Arica35%fair 2.89 · @2.60
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.30
San Luis39%fair 2.59 · @2.55
2.10Expected goals
0.99San Marcos de Arica xG
1.11San Luis xG
44%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%

From our goals model: San Marcos de Arica 1.0 – 1.1 San Luis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

San Marcos de AricaSan Luis
Attack vs Primera B average-11%+11%
Goals conceded vs average-10%-36%
Our expected goals here0.861.04

Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Luis to win39%2.592.55
Double chanceEither team to win73%1.37–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score56%1.77–
Draw no betSan Luis (draw no bet)53%1.89–
Asian handicapSan Marcos de Arica +0.5 (Asian handicap)62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals62%1.61–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals65%1.54–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals84%1.19–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals94%1.07–
First team to scoreSan Luis to score first46%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Luis / FT San Luis22%4.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–114%7.33–

Recent results

San Marcos de Arica – last 6

WDLWWL
25 Oct@ Deportes Temuco2–1W
18 Octvs D. Puerto Montt0–0D
11 Oct@ Antofagasta0–3L
4 Oct@ Deportes Santa Cruz2–1W
13 Sepvs Curico Unido3–0W
9 Sep@ Recoleta1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

San Luis – last 6

DWWWWW
24 Octvs Recoleta1–1D
17 Oct@ Magallanes1–0W
12 Oct@ D. Puerto Montt1–0W
4 Octvs Union Espanola2–0W
30 Sep@ Union San Felipe1–0W
15 Sepvs Antofagasta2–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Jun 2026San Luis v San Marcos de Arica1–0
San Marcos de Arica vs San Luis head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa291595+2254
2San Luis291595+1454
3Santiago Wanderers291487+1650
4Antofagasta291397+2548
5Magallanes291379+146
6San Marcos de Arica2911108+743
7Recoleta291199-242
8Deportes Copiapo2911810+141
9Union Espanola2911612-339
10Deportes Iquique299119+938
11D. Puerto Montt2911513-738
12Deportes Temuco309912+136
13Curico Unido3081012-1734
14Deportes Santa Cruz2941213-1424
15Union San Felipe295816-3423
16Rangers de Talca295618-1921

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Marcos de Arica vs San Luis?

Our pick is Either team to win with a 73% chance.

Who will win San Marcos de Arica vs San Luis?

On our numbers San Marcos de Arica have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and San Luis 39%.

How many goals will there be in San Marcos de Arica vs San Luis?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Marcos de Arica vs San Luis?

Our predicted score is San Marcos de Arica 0–1 San Luis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is San Marcos de Arica vs San Luis?

San Marcos de Arica vs San Luis (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.