Union Magdalena 40%Draw 28%Envigado 31%Expected goals 1.18 – 1.07
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✓40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.76
Union Magdalena vs Envigado: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Envigado travel to face Union Magdalena on Thursday 9 April in the Primera B, with Estadio Sierra Nevada the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Union Magdalena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 4 matches; Envigado are 1st (leading the league) with 7. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Union Magdalena, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ind. Yumbo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Envigado, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Depor FC, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Magdalena 1.2 xG, Envigado 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Magdalena 40%, draw 28%, Envigado 31%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Magdalena 1–1 Envigado. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Magdalena40%fair 2.47 · @2.05
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @3.10
Envigado31%fair 3.19 · @3.35
2.25Expected goals
1.18Union Magdalena xG
1.07Envigado xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Union Magdalena 1.2 – 1.1 Envigado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Union Magdalena
Envigado
Attack vs Primera B average
+9%
+14%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
-21%
Our expected goals here
1.00
1.00
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Magdalena to win✓
40%
2.47
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Draw no bet
Union Magdalena (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Envigado +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Union Magdalena to score first
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Magdalena / FT Union Magdalena✓
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.76
–
Recent results
Union Magdalena – last 6
WWLWDW
30 Mar
@ Ind. Yumbo
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs Real Santander
2–0
W
23 Mar
@ Real Cartagena
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Patriotas
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs Real Soacha
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Barranquilla
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Envigado – last 6
WWLDWW
7 Apr
@ Depor FC
2–1
W
31 Mar
@ Real Santander
3–1
W
25 Mar
vs Bogota FC
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Real Cartagena
1–1
D
11 Mar
@ Leones FC
3–0
W
5 Mar
vs Popayan
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Magdalena and Envigado.
What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Envigado?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Union Magdalena vs Envigado?
On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Envigado 31%.
How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Envigado?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Envigado?
Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 1–1 Envigado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Union Magdalena vs Envigado?
Union Magdalena vs Envigado (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
