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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Barranquilla v Real Santander: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Romelio Martinez
2–0
FT
Barranquilla 50%Draw 26%Real Santander 24% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.05
76%
Betarazi pick

Barranquilla or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultBarranquilla to win ✓50% · @1.95
Double chanceBarranquilla or draw ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90

Barranquilla vs Real Santander: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Wednesday 8 April: Barranquilla v Real Santander in the Primera B, played at Estadio Romelio Martinez. In the table, Barranquilla are 15th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 15 matches; Real Santander are 9th (lower half) with 20.

Current form

Barranquilla, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Tigres FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Real Santander, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Envigado, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Barranquilla, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.4 for Real Santander.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barranquilla 1.5 xG, Real Santander 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barranquilla 50%, draw 26%, Real Santander 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Barranquilla or draw (76%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Barranquilla or draw (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barranquilla 1–1 Real Santander. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barranquilla50%fair 2.01 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.30
Real Santander24%fair 4.20 · @3.45
2.54Expected goals
1.48Barranquilla xG
1.05Real Santander xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Barranquilla 1.5 – 1.1 Real Santander expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

BarranquillaReal Santander
Attack vs Primera B average+4%-0%
Goals conceded vs average+19%+15%
Our expected goals here1.381.14

Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarranquilla to win ✓50%2.011.95
Double chanceBarranquilla or draw ✓76%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.70
Draw no betBarranquilla (draw no bet) ✓68%1.48–
Asian handicapReal Santander +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.931.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreBarranquilla to score first ✓54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barranquilla / FT Barranquilla ✗28%3.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.90–

Recent results

Barranquilla – last 6

LWDLLW
31 Mar@ Tigres FC1–3L
25 Marvs Leones FC3–0W
16 Marvs Bogota FC1–1D
12 Mar@ Ind. Yumbo0–1L
4 Marvs Union Magdalena1–3L
26 Feb@ Popayan2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Real Santander – last 5

LLDLD
31 Marvs Envigado1–3L
26 Mar@ Union Magdalena0–2L
10 Marvs Popayan1–1D
5 Marvs Quindio1–2L
24 Feb@ Ind. Yumbo1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Barranquilla and Real Santander.

Barranquilla vs Real Santander head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barranquilla vs Real Santander?

Our pick is Barranquilla or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Barranquilla vs Real Santander?

On our numbers Barranquilla have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Real Santander 24%.

How many goals will there be in Barranquilla vs Real Santander?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barranquilla vs Real Santander?

Our predicted score is Barranquilla 1–1 Real Santander, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Barranquilla vs Real Santander?

Barranquilla vs Real Santander (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romelio Martinez.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.