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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Quindio v Barranquilla: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Centenario
Quindio 58%Draw 25%Barranquilla 17% Expected goals 1.52 – 0.79
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultQuindio to win ✓58% · @1.50
Double chanceQuindio or draw ✓83% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.03

Quindio vs Barranquilla: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Barranquilla travel to face Quindio on Tuesday 17 February in the Primera B, with Estadio Centenario the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Quindio are 1st, leading the league, on 6 points after 3 matches; Barranquilla are 15th (in the drop zone) with 14.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Quindio 1.5 xG, Barranquilla 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Quindio 58%, draw 25%, Barranquilla 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Quindio 1–0 Barranquilla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Quindio58%fair 1.72 · @1.50
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.75
Barranquilla17%fair 5.93 · @6.20
2.31Expected goals
1.52Quindio xG
0.79Barranquilla xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–112%
2–012%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Quindio 1.5 – 0.8 Barranquilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

QuindioBarranquilla
Attack vs Primera B average+6%+4%
Goals conceded vs average-12%+19%
Our expected goals here1.450.89

Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultQuindio to win ✓58%1.721.50
Double chanceQuindio or draw ✓83%1.201.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.842.00 ▲
Draw no betQuindio (draw no bet) ✓77%1.29–
Asian handicapBarranquilla +1 (Asian handicap)61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.451.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.09–
First team to scoreQuindio to score first ✓59%1.68–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Quindio / FT Quindio ✓33%3.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.03–

Recent results

Quindio

No recent results on record.

Barranquilla

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Quindio and Barranquilla.

Quindio vs Barranquilla head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Quindio vs Barranquilla?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Quindio vs Barranquilla?

On our numbers Quindio have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Barranquilla 17%.

How many goals will there be in Quindio vs Barranquilla?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Quindio vs Barranquilla?

Our predicted score is Quindio 1–0 Barranquilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Quindio vs Barranquilla?

Quindio vs Barranquilla (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.