Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.12
Popayan vs Orsomarso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Popayan welcome Orsomarso for a Primera B fixture on Wednesday 18 February (02:10 WAT). In the table, Popayan are 2nd, among the top four, on 7 points after 4 matches; Orsomarso are 13th (in the drop zone) with 17.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Popayan 1.1 xG, Orsomarso 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Popayan 43%, draw 29%, Orsomarso 28%.
Lower-risk option: Popayan or draw (72%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Popayan or draw (72%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Popayan 1–0 Orsomarso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Popayan43%fair 2.33 · @2.15
Draw29%fair 3.43 · @2.80
Orsomarso28%fair 3.58 · @3.55
1.92Expected goals
1.11Popayan xG
0.81Orsomarso xG
46%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Popayan 1.1 – 0.8 Orsomarso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Popayan
Orsomarso
Attack vs Primera B average
+8%
-21%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
+1%
Our expected goals here
1.27
0.88
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Popayan to win✗
43%
2.33
2.15
Double chance
Popayan or draw✓
72%
1.39
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.55
Draw no bet
Popayan (draw no bet)
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Orsomarso +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Popayan to score first✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Popayan / FT Popayan✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.12
–
Recent results
Popayan
No recent results on record.
Orsomarso
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Popayan and Orsomarso.
Our pick is Popayan or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Popayan vs Orsomarso?
On our numbers Popayan have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Orsomarso 28%.
How many goals will there be in Popayan vs Orsomarso?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Popayan vs Orsomarso?
Our predicted score is Popayan 1–0 Orsomarso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Popayan vs Orsomarso?
Popayan vs Orsomarso (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 18 February 2026 at 02:10 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
