Real Cartagena 71%Draw 19%Leones FC 10%Expected goals 2.03 – 0.70
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.51 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.51Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultReal Cartagena to win ✗71% · @1.24
Double chanceReal Cartagena or draw ✗90% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.65
Real Cartagena vs Leones FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 February the Primera B brings Real Cartagena against Leones FC. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Real Cartagena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 3 matches; Leones FC are 16th (in the drop zone) with 14.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Cartagena 2.0 xG, Leones FC 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Cartagena 71%, draw 19%, Leones FC 10%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.51). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Cartagena 2–0 Leones FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Cartagena71%fair 1.42 · @1.24
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @5.50
Leones FC10%fair 9.57 · @8.50
2.73Expected goals
2.03Real Cartagena xG
0.70Leones FC xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Real Cartagena 2.0 – 0.7 Leones FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Real Cartagena
Leones FC
Attack vs Primera B average
+40%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
+31%
Our expected goals here
2.12
0.82
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Cartagena to win✗
71%
1.42
1.24
Double chance
Real Cartagena or draw✗
90%
1.12
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Real Cartagena (draw no bet)✗
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Real Cartagena -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.51
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Real Cartagena to score first✗
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Real Cartagena ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Cartagena / FT Real Cartagena✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.65
–
Recent results
Real Cartagena
No recent results on record.
Leones FC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Cartagena and Leones FC.
What is the prediction for Real Cartagena vs Leones FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.51.
Who will win Real Cartagena vs Leones FC?
On our numbers Real Cartagena have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Leones FC 10%.
How many goals will there be in Real Cartagena vs Leones FC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Cartagena vs Leones FC?
Our predicted score is Real Cartagena 2–0 Leones FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Real Cartagena vs Leones FC?
Real Cartagena vs Leones FC (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
