Bogota FC 42%Draw 29%Popayan 30%Expected goals 1.11 – 0.92
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.51 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.51Odds
Picks by market
ResultBogota FC to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.66
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.85
Bogota FC vs Popayan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Bogota FC v Popayan in the Primera B, played at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. In the table, Bogota FC are 10th, in the drop zone, on 18 points after 15 matches; Popayan are 2nd (among the top four) with 7.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bogota FC 1.1 xG, Popayan 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bogota FC 42%, draw 29%, Popayan 30%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.66.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.51). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bogota FC 1–0 Popayan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bogota FC42%fair 2.41 · @2.00
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.95
Popayan30%fair 3.35 · @3.50
2.03Expected goals
1.11Bogota FC xG
0.92Popayan xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bogota FC 1.1 – 0.9 Popayan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Bogota FC
Popayan
Attack vs Primera B average
-19%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
+16%
Our expected goals here
1.08
0.95
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bogota FC to win✓
42%
2.41
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.66
Draw no bet
Bogota FC (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Popayan +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.51
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Bogota FC to score first
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bogota FC / FT Bogota FC✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.85
–
Recent results
Bogota FC
No recent results on record.
Popayan – last 1
D
18 Feb
vs Orsomarso
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bogota FC and Popayan.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.51.
Who will win Bogota FC vs Popayan?
On our numbers Bogota FC have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Popayan 30%.
How many goals will there be in Bogota FC vs Popayan?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bogota FC vs Popayan?
Our predicted score is Bogota FC 1–0 Popayan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Bogota FC vs Popayan?
Bogota FC vs Popayan (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
