Union Magdalena 52%Draw 29%Tigres FC 19%Expected goals 1.11 – 0.75
81%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✓52% · @1.50
Double chanceUnion Magdalena or draw ✓81% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.76
Union Magdalena vs Tigres FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tigres FC travel to face Union Magdalena on Tuesday 24 February in the Primera B, with Estadio Sierra Nevada the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Union Magdalena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 4 matches; Tigres FC are 2nd (among the top four) with 5. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Magdalena 1.1 xG, Tigres FC 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Magdalena 52%, draw 29%, Tigres FC 19%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Magdalena 1–0 Tigres FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Magdalena52%fair 1.92 · @1.50
Draw29%fair 3.44 · @3.65
Tigres FC19%fair 5.29 · @6.50
1.86Expected goals
1.11Union Magdalena xG
0.75Tigres FC xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–016%
1–113%
0–112%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Union Magdalena 1.1 – 0.7 Tigres FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Union Magdalena
Tigres FC
Attack vs Primera B average
+10%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
-38%
Our expected goals here
0.79
0.81
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Magdalena to win✓
52%
1.92
1.50
Double chance
Union Magdalena or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.62
Draw no bet
Union Magdalena (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Tigres FC +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Union Magdalena to score first
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Magdalena / FT Union Magdalena✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.76
–
Recent results
Union Magdalena
No recent results on record.
Tigres FC – last 1
L
16 Feb
vs Ind. Yumbo
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Magdalena and Tigres FC.
What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Tigres FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Union Magdalena vs Tigres FC?
On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Tigres FC 19%.
How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Tigres FC?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Tigres FC?
Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 1–0 Tigres FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Union Magdalena vs Tigres FC?
Union Magdalena vs Tigres FC (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
