Popayan vs Barranquilla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Thursday 26 February: Popayan v Barranquilla in the Primera B. In the table, Popayan are 2nd, among the top four, on 7 points after 4 matches; Barranquilla are 15th (in the drop zone) with 14.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Popayan 1.5 xG, Barranquilla 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Popayan 50%, draw 26%, Barranquilla 24%.
Lower-risk option: Popayan or draw (76%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Popayan 1–1 Barranquilla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Popayan50%fair 2.00 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.20
Barranquilla24%fair 4.11 · @4.33
2.48Expected goals
1.46Popayan xG
1.02Barranquilla xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Popayan 1.5 – 1.0 Barranquilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Popayan
Barranquilla
Attack vs Primera B average
+8%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
+19%
Our expected goals here
1.48
1.17
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Popayan to win✗
50%
2.00
1.80
Double chance
Popayan or draw✗
76%
1.32
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.95
Draw no bet
Popayan (draw no bet)✗
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Barranquilla +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Popayan to score first✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Popayan / FT Popayan✗
28%
3.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Popayan – last 2
LD
22 Feb
@ Bogota FC
1–2
L
18 Feb
vs Orsomarso
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Barranquilla – last 1
L
17 Feb
@ Quindio
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Popayan and Barranquilla.
What is the prediction for Popayan vs Barranquilla?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Popayan vs Barranquilla?
On our numbers Popayan have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Barranquilla 24%.
How many goals will there be in Popayan vs Barranquilla?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Popayan vs Barranquilla?
Our predicted score is Popayan 1–1 Barranquilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Popayan vs Barranquilla?
Popayan vs Barranquilla (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
