Value bet: Ind. Yumbo to win @ 2.60 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultInd. Yumbo to win ✓44% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.06
Leones FC vs Ind. Yumbo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Friday 27 February: Leones FC v Ind. Yumbo in the Primera B, played at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui. In the table, Leones FC are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 15 matches; Ind. Yumbo are 4th (among the top four) with 2. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leones FC 0.9 xG, Ind. Yumbo 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 43%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leones FC 29%, draw 27%, Ind. Yumbo 44%.
Price worth noting: Ind. Yumbo to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leones FC 0–1 Ind. Yumbo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leones FC29%fair 3.45 · @2.60
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.10
Ind. Yumbo44%fair 2.28 · @2.60
2.28Expected goals
0.89Leones FC xG
1.39Ind. Yumbo xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
0–210%
1–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: Leones FC 0.9 – 1.4 Ind. Yumbo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Leones FC
Ind. Yumbo
Attack vs Primera B average
-22%
+11%
Goals conceded vs average
+31%
-23%
Our expected goals here
0.69
1.41
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ind. Yumbo to win✓
44%
2.28
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
–
Draw no bet
Ind. Yumbo (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Leones FC +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Ind. Yumbo to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ind. Yumbo / FT Ind. Yumbo✓
29%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.06
–
Recent results
Leones FC – last 1
W
21 Feb
@ Real Cartagena
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ind. Yumbo – last 2
DW
24 Feb
vs Real Santander
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Tigres FC
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leones FC and Ind. Yumbo.
What is the prediction for Leones FC vs Ind. Yumbo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Leones FC vs Ind. Yumbo?
On our numbers Leones FC have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ind. Yumbo 44%.
How many goals will there be in Leones FC vs Ind. Yumbo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones FC vs Ind. Yumbo?
Our predicted score is Leones FC 0–1 Ind. Yumbo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Leones FC vs Ind. Yumbo?
Leones FC vs Ind. Yumbo (Primera B) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
