Tigres FC 32%Draw 29%Real Cartagena 39%Expected goals 1.08 – 1.03
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultReal Cartagena to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.47
Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Cartagena travel to face Tigres FC on Tuesday 3 March in the Primera B, with Estadio Metropolitano de Techo the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Tigres FC are 2nd, among the top four, on 5 points after 3 matches; Real Cartagena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tigres FC 1.1 xG, Real Cartagena 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tigres FC 32%, draw 29%, Real Cartagena 39%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tigres FC 1–1 Real Cartagena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tigres FC32%fair 3.11 · @3.35
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @2.90
Real Cartagena39%fair 2.59 · @2.20
2.11Expected goals
1.08Tigres FC xG
1.03Real Cartagena xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Tigres FC 1.1 – 1.0 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tigres FC
Real Cartagena
Attack vs Primera B average
-8%
+40%
Goals conceded vs average
-38%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.17
0.84
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Cartagena to win✗
39%
2.59
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Real Cartagena (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Real Cartagena +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Tigres FC to score first✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
21%
4.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.47
–
Recent results
Tigres FC – last 2
LL
24 Feb
@ Union Magdalena
1–3
L
16 Feb
vs Ind. Yumbo
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Real Cartagena – last 1
L
21 Feb
vs Leones FC
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigres FC and Real Cartagena.
What is the prediction for Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena?
On our numbers Tigres FC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Real Cartagena 39%.
How many goals will there be in Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena?
Our predicted score is Tigres FC 1–1 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena?
Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
