Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Barranquilla welcome Union Magdalena to Estadio Romelio Martinez for a Primera B fixture on Wednesday 4 March (22:00 WAT). In the table, Barranquilla are 15th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 15 matches; Union Magdalena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barranquilla 1.1 xG, Union Magdalena 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barranquilla 29%, draw 27%, Union Magdalena 44%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barranquilla 1–1 Union Magdalena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barranquilla29%fair 3.40 · @3.30
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.20
Union Magdalena44%fair 2.28 · @2.05
2.39Expected goals
1.07Barranquilla xG
1.31Union Magdalena xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Barranquilla 1.1 – 1.3 Union Magdalena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Barranquilla
Union Magdalena
Attack vs Primera B average
+4%
+10%
Goals conceded vs average
+19%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.10
1.26
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Magdalena to win✓
44%
2.28
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.80
Draw no bet
Union Magdalena (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Barranquilla +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Union Magdalena to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Magdalena / FT Union Magdalena✓
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.74
–
Recent results
Barranquilla – last 2
WL
26 Feb
@ Popayan
2–0
W
17 Feb
@ Quindio
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Union Magdalena – last 1
W
24 Feb
vs Tigres FC
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barranquilla and Union Magdalena.
What is the prediction for Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena?
On our numbers Barranquilla have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Union Magdalena 44%.
How many goals will there be in Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena?
Our predicted score is Barranquilla 1–1 Union Magdalena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena?
Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romelio Martinez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
