Real Cartagena 59%Draw 24%Orsomarso 17%Expected goals 1.51 – 0.70
59%
Betarazi pick
Real Cartagena to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultReal Cartagena to win ✓59% · @1.44
Double chanceReal Cartagena or draw ✓83% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.44
Real Cartagena vs Orsomarso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Saturday 7 March: Real Cartagena v Orsomarso in the Primera B. In the table, Real Cartagena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 3 matches; Orsomarso are 13th (in the drop zone) with 17. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Cartagena 1.5 xG, Orsomarso 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Cartagena 59%, draw 24%, Orsomarso 17%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Cartagena to win (59%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Cartagena 1–0 Orsomarso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Cartagena59%fair 1.68 · @1.44
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.60
Orsomarso17%fair 5.87 · @6.00
2.21Expected goals
1.51Real Cartagena xG
0.70Orsomarso xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Real Cartagena 1.5 – 0.7 Orsomarso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Real Cartagena
Orsomarso
Attack vs Primera B average
+40%
-21%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
+1%
Our expected goals here
1.64
0.83
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Cartagena to win✓
59%
1.68
1.44
Double chance
Real Cartagena or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.95
Draw no bet
Real Cartagena (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Orsomarso +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Real Cartagena to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Cartagena / FT Real Cartagena✓
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.44
–
Recent results
Real Cartagena – last 2
DL
3 Mar
@ Tigres FC
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Leones FC
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Orsomarso – last 2
LD
22 Feb
@ Real Soacha
0–1
L
18 Feb
@ Popayan
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Cartagena and Orsomarso.
What is the prediction for Real Cartagena vs Orsomarso?
Our pick is Real Cartagena to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Real Cartagena vs Orsomarso?
On our numbers Real Cartagena have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Orsomarso 17%.
How many goals will there be in Real Cartagena vs Orsomarso?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Cartagena vs Orsomarso?
Our predicted score is Real Cartagena 1–0 Orsomarso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Real Cartagena vs Orsomarso?
Real Cartagena vs Orsomarso (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
