Real Santander 40%Draw 28%Popayan 32%Expected goals 1.23 – 1.08
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultReal Santander to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.32
Real Santander vs Popayan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Tuesday 10 March: Real Santander v Popayan in the Primera B, played at Estadio Villa Concha. In the table, Real Santander are 9th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 15 matches; Popayan are 2nd (among the top four) with 7. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Popayan, last 4: LLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Envigado, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Santander 1.2 xG, Popayan 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Santander 40%, draw 28%, Popayan 32%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Santander 1–1 Popayan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Santander40%fair 2.49 · @2.30
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @2.92
Popayan32%fair 3.13 · @3.20
2.32Expected goals
1.23Real Santander xG
1.08Popayan xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Real Santander 1.2 – 1.1 Popayan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Real Santander
Popayan
Attack vs Primera B average
-0%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
+15%
+16%
Our expected goals here
1.33
1.20
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Santander to win✗
40%
2.49
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.39
1.34
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.95
Draw no bet
Real Santander (draw no bet)
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Popayan +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Real Santander to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Santander / FT Real Santander✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.32
–
Recent results
Real Santander – last 2
LD
5 Mar
vs Quindio
1–2
L
24 Feb
@ Ind. Yumbo
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Popayan – last 4
LLLD
5 Mar
@ Envigado
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Barranquilla
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Bogota FC
1–2
L
18 Feb
vs Orsomarso
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Santander and Popayan.
What is the prediction for Real Santander vs Popayan?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Real Santander vs Popayan?
On our numbers Real Santander have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Popayan 32%.
How many goals will there be in Real Santander vs Popayan?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Santander vs Popayan?
Our predicted score is Real Santander 1–1 Popayan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Real Santander vs Popayan?
Real Santander vs Popayan (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Villa Concha.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
