Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultQuindio to win ✗47% · @1.85
Double chanceQuindio or draw ✓76% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.37
Quindio vs Real Soacha: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:20 WAT, Tuesday 17 March: Quindio v Real Soacha in the Primera B, played at Estadio Centenario. In the table, Quindio are 1st, leading the league, on 6 points after 3 matches; Real Soacha are 4th (among the top four) with 1.
Current form
Quindio, last 4: DWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Patriotas, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Real Soacha, last 3: DDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Union Magdalena, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Quindio, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Real Soacha.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Quindio 1.1 xG, Real Soacha 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Quindio 47%, draw 30%, Real Soacha 24%.
Lower-risk option: Quindio or draw (76%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Quindio 1–0 Real Soacha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Quindio47%fair 2.15 · @1.85
Draw30%fair 3.37 · @3.10
Real Soacha24%fair 4.20 · @4.10
1.96Expected goals
1.13Quindio xG
0.83Real Soacha xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Quindio 1.1 – 0.8 Real Soacha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Quindio
Real Soacha
Attack vs Primera B average
+6%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-12%
-23%
Our expected goals here
0.95
0.84
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Quindio to win✗
47%
2.15
1.85
Double chance
Quindio or draw✓
76%
1.31
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Quindio (draw no bet)
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Real Soacha +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Quindio to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Quindio / FT Quindio✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.37
–
Recent results
Quindio – last 4
DWWW
12 Mar
@ Patriotas
0–0
D
5 Mar
@ Real Santander
2–1
W
24 Feb
@ Envigado
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Barranquilla
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Real Soacha – last 3
DDW
11 Mar
@ Union Magdalena
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Internacional Palmira
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Orsomarso
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Quindio and Real Soacha.
What is the prediction for Quindio vs Real Soacha?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Quindio vs Real Soacha?
On our numbers Quindio have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Real Soacha 24%.
How many goals will there be in Quindio vs Real Soacha?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Quindio vs Real Soacha?
Our predicted score is Quindio 1–0 Real Soacha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Quindio vs Real Soacha?
Quindio vs Real Soacha (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 02:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
