Real Cartagena vs Union Magdalena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:30 WAT, Monday 23 March: Real Cartagena v Union Magdalena in the Primera B. In the table, Real Cartagena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 3 matches; Union Magdalena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Real Cartagena, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Envigado, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Union Magdalena, last 4: WDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Patriotas, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Union Magdalena, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Real Cartagena.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Cartagena 1.4 xG, Union Magdalena 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Cartagena 43%, draw 26%, Union Magdalena 31%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Cartagena 1–1 Union Magdalena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Cartagena43%fair 2.34 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.20
Union Magdalena31%fair 3.21 · @3.25
2.56Expected goals
1.41Real Cartagena xG
1.14Union Magdalena xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Real Cartagena 1.4 – 1.1 Union Magdalena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
Attack vs Primera B average
+40%
+10%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.47
1.16
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Cartagena to win✓
43%
2.34
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Draw no bet
Real Cartagena (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Union Magdalena +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Real Cartagena to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Cartagena / FT Real Cartagena✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.29
–
Recent results
Real Cartagena – last 5
DDWDL
16 Mar
@ Envigado
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Internacional Palmira
2–2
D
7 Mar
vs Orsomarso
4–0
W
3 Mar
@ Tigres FC
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Leones FC
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Union Magdalena – last 4
WDWW
16 Mar
vs Patriotas
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs Real Soacha
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Barranquilla
3–1
W
24 Feb
vs Tigres FC
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Cartagena and Union Magdalena.
What is the prediction for Real Cartagena vs Union Magdalena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Real Cartagena vs Union Magdalena?
On our numbers Real Cartagena have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Union Magdalena 31%.
How many goals will there be in Real Cartagena vs Union Magdalena?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Cartagena vs Union Magdalena?
Our predicted score is Real Cartagena 1–1 Union Magdalena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Real Cartagena vs Union Magdalena?
Real Cartagena vs Union Magdalena (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
