Union Magdalena vs Real Santander: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:00 WAT, Thursday 26 March: Union Magdalena v Real Santander in the Primera B, played at Estadio Sierra Nevada. In the table, Union Magdalena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 4 matches; Real Santander are 9th (in the drop zone) with 20. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union Magdalena, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Real Cartagena, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Real Santander, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Popayan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Union Magdalena, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Real Santander.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Magdalena 1.7 xG, Real Santander 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Magdalena 62%, draw 23%, Real Santander 14%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.10.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Magdalena 1–0 Real Santander. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Magdalena62%fair 1.60 · @1.33
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @4.33
Real Santander14%fair 6.96 · @8.80
2.44Expected goals
1.66Union Magdalena xG
0.79Real Santander xG
50%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Union Magdalena 1.7 – 0.8 Real Santander expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Union Magdalena
Real Santander
Attack vs Primera B average
+10%
-0%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
+15%
Our expected goals here
1.45
0.88
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Magdalena to win✓
62%
1.60
1.33
Double chance
Union Magdalena or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Union Magdalena (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Real Santander +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Union Magdalena to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Magdalena / FT Union Magdalena✓
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.66
–
Recent results
Union Magdalena – last 5
LWDWW
23 Mar
@ Real Cartagena
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Patriotas
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs Real Soacha
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Barranquilla
3–1
W
24 Feb
vs Tigres FC
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Real Santander – last 3
DLD
10 Mar
vs Popayan
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Quindio
1–2
L
24 Feb
@ Ind. Yumbo
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Magdalena and Real Santander.
What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Real Santander?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Union Magdalena vs Real Santander?
On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Santander 14%.
How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Real Santander?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Real Santander?
Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 1–0 Real Santander, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Union Magdalena vs Real Santander?
Union Magdalena vs Real Santander (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
