Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultReal Cartagena to win ✗51% · @1.73
Double chanceReal Cartagena or draw ✓76% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.74
Popayan vs Real Cartagena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 27 March the Primera B brings Popayan against Real Cartagena. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Popayan are 2nd, among the top four, on 7 points after 4 matches; Real Cartagena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Popayan, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Santander, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Real Cartagena, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Union Magdalena, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Real Cartagena, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.4 for Popayan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Popayan 1.1 xG, Real Cartagena 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Popayan 24%, draw 25%, Real Cartagena 51%.
Lower-risk option: Real Cartagena or draw (76%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Popayan 1–1 Real Cartagena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Popayan24%fair 4.25 · @4.50
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.35
Real Cartagena51%fair 1.96 · @1.73
2.66Expected goals
1.12Popayan xG
1.55Real Cartagena xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Popayan 1.1 – 1.5 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Popayan
Real Cartagena
Attack vs Primera B average
+8%
+40%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.37
1.56
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Cartagena to win✗
51%
1.96
1.73
Double chance
Real Cartagena or draw✓
76%
1.31
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Real Cartagena (draw no bet)
68%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Popayan +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Real Cartagena to score first✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Cartagena / FT Real Cartagena✗
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.74
–
Recent results
Popayan – last 5
DLLLD
10 Mar
@ Real Santander
1–1
D
5 Mar
@ Envigado
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Barranquilla
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Bogota FC
1–2
L
18 Feb
vs Orsomarso
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Real Cartagena – last 6
WDDWDL
23 Mar
vs Union Magdalena
2–1
W
16 Mar
@ Envigado
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Internacional Palmira
2–2
D
7 Mar
vs Orsomarso
4–0
W
3 Mar
@ Tigres FC
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Leones FC
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Popayan and Real Cartagena.
What is the prediction for Popayan vs Real Cartagena?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Popayan vs Real Cartagena?
On our numbers Popayan have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Cartagena 51%.
How many goals will there be in Popayan vs Real Cartagena?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Popayan vs Real Cartagena?
Our predicted score is Popayan 1–1 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Popayan vs Real Cartagena?
Popayan vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
