Real Santander 19%Draw 28%Envigado 53%Expected goals 0.80 – 1.33
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEnvigado to win ✓53% · @1.83
Double chanceEnvigado or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.88
Real Santander vs Envigado: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Santander welcome Envigado to Estadio Villa Concha for a Primera B fixture on Tuesday 31 March (21:00 WAT). In the table, Real Santander are 9th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 15 matches; Envigado are 1st (leading the league) with 7. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Real Santander, last 4: LDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Union Magdalena, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Envigado, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bogota FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Envigado, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.5 for Real Santander.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Santander 0.8 xG, Envigado 1.3 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Santander 19%, draw 28%, Envigado 53%.
Lower-risk option: Envigado or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Santander 1–1 Envigado. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Santander19%fair 5.14 · @4.50
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.10
Envigado53%fair 1.90 · @1.83
2.13Expected goals
0.80Real Santander xG
1.33Envigado xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
1–113%
0–012%
0–211%
1–09%
1–28%
From our goals model: Real Santander 0.8 – 1.3 Envigado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Real Santander
Envigado
Attack vs Primera B average
-0%
+14%
Goals conceded vs average
+15%
-21%
Our expected goals here
0.91
1.26
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Envigado to win✓
53%
1.90
1.83
Double chance
Envigado or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Envigado (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Real Santander +1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Envigado to score first✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Envigado / FT Envigado✓
29%
3.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.88
–
Recent results
Real Santander – last 4
LDLD
26 Mar
@ Union Magdalena
0–2
L
10 Mar
vs Popayan
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Quindio
1–2
L
24 Feb
@ Ind. Yumbo
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Envigado – last 5
LDWWL
25 Mar
vs Bogota FC
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Real Cartagena
1–1
D
11 Mar
@ Leones FC
3–0
W
5 Mar
vs Popayan
1–0
W
24 Feb
vs Quindio
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Santander and Envigado.
What is the prediction for Real Santander vs Envigado?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Real Santander vs Envigado?
On our numbers Real Santander have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Envigado 53%.
How many goals will there be in Real Santander vs Envigado?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Santander vs Envigado?
Our predicted score is Real Santander 1–1 Envigado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Real Santander vs Envigado?
Real Santander vs Envigado (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Villa Concha.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
