Real Cartagena vs Quindio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Wednesday 1 April: Real Cartagena v Quindio in the Primera B. In the table, Real Cartagena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 3 matches; Quindio are 1st (leading the league) with 6. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Real Cartagena, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Popayan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Quindio, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Orsomarso, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Cartagena 1.5 xG, Quindio 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Cartagena 55%, draw 26%, Quindio 19%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Cartagena 1–0 Quindio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Cartagena55%fair 1.81 · @1.60
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.45
Quindio19%fair 5.25 · @5.25
2.43Expected goals
1.50Real Cartagena xG
0.92Quindio xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Real Cartagena 1.5 – 0.9 Quindio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Real Cartagena
Quindio
Attack vs Primera B average
+40%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
-12%
Our expected goals here
1.43
1.12
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Cartagena to win✓
55%
1.81
1.60
Double chance
Real Cartagena or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Real Cartagena (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Quindio +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Real Cartagena to score first
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Cartagena / FT Real Cartagena✗
30%
3.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Real Cartagena – last 6
DWDDWD
27 Mar
@ Popayan
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs Union Magdalena
2–1
W
16 Mar
@ Envigado
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Internacional Palmira
2–2
D
7 Mar
vs Orsomarso
4–0
W
3 Mar
@ Tigres FC
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Quindio – last 6
DWDDWW
27 Mar
vs Orsomarso
2–2
D
20 Mar
@ Bogota FC
2–0
W
17 Mar
vs Real Soacha
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ Patriotas
0–0
D
5 Mar
@ Real Santander
2–1
W
24 Feb
@ Envigado
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Cartagena and Quindio.
What is the prediction for Real Cartagena vs Quindio?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Real Cartagena vs Quindio?
On our numbers Real Cartagena have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Quindio 19%.
How many goals will there be in Real Cartagena vs Quindio?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Cartagena vs Quindio?
Our predicted score is Real Cartagena 1–0 Quindio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Real Cartagena vs Quindio?
Real Cartagena vs Quindio (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
