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Sarmiento Res. v Gimnasia La Plata Res.: numbers & prediction

Reserve League · Argentina
Sarmiento Res. 30%Draw 31%Gimnasia La Plata Res. 40% Expected goals 0.85 – 0.94
70%
Betarazi pick

Gimnasia La Plata Res. or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultGimnasia La Plata Res. to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceGimnasia La Plata Res. or draw ✗70% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.38

Sarmiento Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sarmiento Res. welcome Gimnasia La Plata Res. for a Reserve League fixture on Tuesday 17 March (19:00 WAT). In the table, Sarmiento Res. are 15th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Gimnasia La Plata Res. are 24th (lower half) with 17.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sarmiento Res. 0.9 xG, Gimnasia La Plata Res. 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sarmiento Res. 30%, draw 31%, Gimnasia La Plata Res. 40%.
  • Lower-risk option: Gimnasia La Plata Res. or draw (70%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Gimnasia La Plata Res. or draw (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarmiento Res. 0–0 Gimnasia La Plata Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sarmiento Res.30%fair 3.37 · @3.10
Draw31%fair 3.26 · @2.88
Gimnasia La Plata Res.40%fair 2.52 · @2.15
1.79Expected goals
0.85Sarmiento Res. xG
0.94Gimnasia La Plata Res. xG
45%Both score
27%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–017%
0–116%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%

From our goals model: Sarmiento Res. 0.9 – 0.9 Gimnasia La Plata Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Sarmiento Res.Gimnasia La Plata Res.
Attack vs Reserve League average-27%-20%
Goals conceded vs average-13%-16%
Our expected goals here0.840.78

Our own ratings from every Reserve League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGimnasia La Plata Res. to win ✗40%2.522.15
Double chanceGimnasia La Plata Res. or draw ✗70%1.421.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.801.83
Draw no betGimnasia La Plata Res. (draw no bet) ✗57%1.75–
Asian handicapSarmiento Res. +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓53%1.88–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreGimnasia La Plata Res. to score first ✗44%2.29–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗25%4.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16%6.38–

Recent results

Sarmiento Res. – last 2

LL
2 Mar@ Unión Santa Fe Res.0–1L
18 Febvs Atlético Tucumán Res.1–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Gimnasia La Plata Res. – last 2

DW
2 Marvs Argentinos Juniors Res.1–1D
16 Feb@ Aldosivi Res.3–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento Res. and Gimnasia La Plata Res..

Sarmiento Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res. head-to-head page →

Reserve League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vélez Sársfield Res.201523+2947
2Boca Juniors Res.201235+2439
3Racing Club Res.211164+739
4River Plate Res.211146+937
5Independiente Res.191135+1936
6Lanús Res.191126+1335
7Newell's Old Boys Res.191045+934
8Quilmes 2181035+833
9Defensa y Justicia Res.18954+1432
10Atlético Tucumán Res.19937-230
11Unión Santa Fe Res.18783+429
12Estudiantes La Plata Res18846+928
13Argentinos Juniors Res.18774+628
14Belgrano Córdoba Res.18837-227
15Talleres Córdoba Res.18756+626
16Huracán Res.18756+626
17Rosario Central Res.18756+326
18Platense Res.18756-326
19Deportivo Riestra Res.18747+725
20Independiente Riva. Res.18738024
21Instituto Res.18594-124
22San Lorenzo Res.18666-224
23Gimnasia La Plata Res.18657+223
24Gimnasia Mendoza 218657-323
25Banfield Res.18657-423
26Ferro 218648-322
27Central Córdoba SdE Res.18549-1219
28Colón Res.185310-818
29Aldosivi Res.185310-1118
30Barracas Central Res.18459-1317
31Sarmiento Res.184410-1016
32Tigre Res.184410-1016
33Godoy Cruz Res.184311-1015
34Atl. Rafaela 2183312-1512
35Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2182511-2311
36San Martín San Juan Res.182214-438

More Reserve League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sarmiento Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.?

Our pick is Gimnasia La Plata Res. or draw with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Sarmiento Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.?

On our numbers Sarmiento Res. have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Gimnasia La Plata Res. 40%.

How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.?

Our predicted score is Sarmiento Res. 0–0 Gimnasia La Plata Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Sarmiento Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.?

Sarmiento Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.