Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultLanús Res. to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.30
Independiente Riva. Res. vs Lanús Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Independiente Riva. Res. welcome Lanús Res. for a Reserve League fixture on Tuesday 14 April (19:00 WAT). In the table, Independiente Riva. Res. are 18th, upper half, on 21 points after 17 matches; Lanús Res. are 2nd (among the top four) with 36. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Independiente Riva. Res., last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Newell's Old Boys Res., away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Lanús Res., last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Deportivo Riestra Res., at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Lanús Res., collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Independiente Riva. Res..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente Riva. Res. 1.6 xG, Lanús Res. 2.0 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente Riva. Res. 29%, draw 24%, Lanús Res. 47%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente Riva. Res. 1–2 Lanús Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente Riva. Res.29%fair 3.46 · @3.40
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.00
Lanús Res.47%fair 2.12 · @2.00
3.59Expected goals
1.57Independiente Riva. Res. xG
2.03Lanús Res. xG
65%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–19%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
0–26%
From our goals model: Independiente Riva. Res. 1.6 – 2.0 Lanús Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Independiente Riva. Res.
Lanús Res.
Attack vs Reserve League average
+16%
+70%
Goals conceded vs average
+25%
+16%
Our expected goals here
1.84
2.39
Our own ratings from every Reserve League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lanús Res. to win✗
47%
2.12
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Lanús Res. (draw no bet)
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Independiente Riva. Res. +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
First team to score
Lanús Res. to score first✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Lanús Res. ahead at half-time✗
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lanús Res. / FT Lanús Res.✗
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.30
–
Recent results
Independiente Riva. Res. – last 6
LLDWDL
8 Apr
@ Newell's Old Boys Res.
0–2
L
31 Mar
vs Defensa y Justicia Res.
2–3
L
26 Mar
@ Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
1–1
D
19 Mar
vs Huracán Res.
4–1
W
3 Mar
@ Ferro 2
0–0
D
17 Feb
vs Boca Juniors Res.
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lanús Res. – last 6
WLWWWW
7 Apr
vs Deportivo Riestra Res.
3–2
W
31 Mar
@ Belgrano Córdoba Res.
1–3
L
25 Mar
vs Colón Res.
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Newell's Old Boys Res.
2–0
W
2 Mar
@ Defensa y Justicia Res.
2–1
W
18 Feb
vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
4–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente Riva. Res. and Lanús Res..
What is the prediction for Independiente Riva. Res. vs Lanús Res.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Independiente Riva. Res. vs Lanús Res.?
On our numbers Independiente Riva. Res. have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lanús Res. 47%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente Riva. Res. vs Lanús Res.?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente Riva. Res. vs Lanús Res.?
Our predicted score is Independiente Riva. Res. 1–2 Lanús Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Independiente Riva. Res. vs Lanús Res.?
Independiente Riva. Res. vs Lanús Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
