Double chanceBoca Juniors Res. or draw ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.94
Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 23 April the Reserve League brings Boca Juniors Res. against River Plate Res.. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Boca Juniors Res. are 5th, upper half, on 31 points after 16 matches; River Plate Res. are 7th (upper half) with 29. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Boca Juniors Res., last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atl. Rafaela 2, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
River Plate Res., last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Argentinos Juniors Res., at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Boca Juniors Res., collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for River Plate Res..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Boca Juniors Res. 1.3 xG, River Plate Res. 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Boca Juniors Res. 45%, draw 29%, River Plate Res. 26%.
Lower-risk option: Boca Juniors Res. or draw (74%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Boca Juniors Res. or draw (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boca Juniors Res. 1–0 River Plate Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Boca Juniors Res.45%fair 2.23 · @2.05
Draw29%fair 3.49 · @2.90
River Plate Res.26%fair 3.79 · @3.40
2.22Expected goals
1.32Boca Juniors Res. xG
0.90River Plate Res. xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–010%
2–19%
From our goals model: Boca Juniors Res. 1.3 – 0.9 River Plate Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Boca Juniors Res.
River Plate Res.
Attack vs Reserve League average
+8%
+28%
Goals conceded vs average
-46%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.23
0.77
Our own ratings from every Reserve League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boca Juniors Res. to win✓
45%
2.23
2.05
Double chance
Boca Juniors Res. or draw✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Draw no bet
Boca Juniors Res. (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
River Plate Res. +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Boca Juniors Res. to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boca Juniors Res. / FT Boca Juniors Res.✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.94
–
Recent results
Boca Juniors Res. – last 6
DWLWWW
16 Apr
@ Atl. Rafaela 2
1–1
D
8 Apr
vs Platense Res.
2–0
W
1 Apr
@ Quilmes 2
0–1
L
26 Mar
vs Estudiantes La Plata Res
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ Central Córdoba SdE Res.
4–0
W
3 Mar
vs San Martín San Juan Res.
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
River Plate Res. – last 6
DWLDWL
16 Apr
vs Argentinos Juniors Res.
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Aldosivi Res.
2–0
W
2 Apr
vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.
0–3
L
27 Mar
@ Unión Santa Fe Res.
2–2
D
20 Mar
vs Atlético Tucumán Res.
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Godoy Cruz Res.
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boca Juniors Res. and River Plate Res..
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res.?
Our pick is Boca Juniors Res. or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res.?
On our numbers Boca Juniors Res. have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 29% and River Plate Res. 26%.
How many goals will there be in Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res.?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res.?
Our predicted score is Boca Juniors Res. 1–0 River Plate Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res.?
Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
