Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultRiver Plate Res. to win ✓51% · @1.73
Double chanceRiver Plate Res. or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.30
Sarmiento Res. vs River Plate Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
River Plate Res. travel to face Sarmiento Res. on Tuesday 28 April in the Reserve League – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Sarmiento Res. are 15th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; River Plate Res. are 7th (upper half) with 29.
Current form
Sarmiento Res., last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atl. Rafaela 2, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
River Plate Res., last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Boca Juniors Res., away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarmiento Res. 0.8 xG, River Plate Res. 1.3 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarmiento Res. 21%, draw 28%, River Plate Res. 51%.
Lower-risk option: River Plate Res. or draw (79%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was River Plate Res. or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarmiento Res. 0–1 River Plate Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarmiento Res.21%fair 4.69 · @4.00
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @3.30
River Plate Res.51%fair 1.96 · @1.73
2.05Expected goals
0.77Sarmiento Res. xG
1.28River Plate Res. xG
55%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–013%
1–113%
0–211%
1–010%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Res. 0.8 – 1.3 River Plate Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sarmiento Res.
River Plate Res.
Attack vs Reserve League average
-27%
+28%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
-17%
Our expected goals here
0.84
1.25
Our own ratings from every Reserve League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
River Plate Res. to win✓
51%
1.96
1.73
Double chance
River Plate Res. or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.65
Draw no bet
River Plate Res. (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Sarmiento Res. +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
River Plate Res. to score first✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT River Plate Res. / FT River Plate Res.✗
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.30
–
Recent results
Sarmiento Res. – last 6
WDDLLW
22 Apr
@ Atl. Rafaela 2
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ Racing Club Res.
1–1
D
9 Apr
vs Instituto Res.
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Argentinos Juniors Res.
0–1
L
25 Mar
@ Aldosivi Res.
0–3
L
17 Mar
vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
River Plate Res. – last 6
LDWLDW
23 Apr
@ Boca Juniors Res.
0–2
L
16 Apr
vs Argentinos Juniors Res.
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Aldosivi Res.
2–0
W
2 Apr
vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.
0–3
L
27 Mar
@ Unión Santa Fe Res.
2–2
D
20 Mar
vs Atlético Tucumán Res.
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento Res. and River Plate Res..
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Res. vs River Plate Res.?
Our pick is River Plate Res. or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sarmiento Res. vs River Plate Res.?
On our numbers Sarmiento Res. have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 28% and River Plate Res. 51%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Res. vs River Plate Res.?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Res. vs River Plate Res.?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Res. 0–1 River Plate Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Res. vs River Plate Res.?
Sarmiento Res. vs River Plate Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
