Unión Santa Fe Res. 36%Draw 27%Rosario Central Res. 37%Expected goals 1.41 – 1.26
58%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
1
Value bet: Unión Santa Fe Res. to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRosario Central Res. to win ✗37% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.90
Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Rosario Central Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Unión Santa Fe Res. welcome Rosario Central Res. for a Reserve League fixture on Wednesday 29 April (19:00 WAT). In the table, Unión Santa Fe Res. are 23rd, lower half, on 18 points after 17 matches; Rosario Central Res. are 13th (upper half) with 25.
Current form
Unión Santa Fe Res., last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Colón Res., at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Rosario Central Res., last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Newell's Old Boys Res., at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Rosario Central Res., collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Unión Santa Fe Res..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Unión Santa Fe Res. 1.4 xG, Rosario Central Res. 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Unión Santa Fe Res. 36%, draw 27%, Rosario Central Res. 37%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Unión Santa Fe Res. to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Unión Santa Fe Res. 1–1 Rosario Central Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Unión Santa Fe Res.36%fair 2.77 · @3.10
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.90
Rosario Central Res.37%fair 2.72 · @2.15
2.67Expected goals
1.41Unión Santa Fe Res. xG
1.26Rosario Central Res. xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Unión Santa Fe Res. 1.4 – 1.3 Rosario Central Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Unión Santa Fe Res.
Rosario Central Res.
Attack vs Reserve League average
+4%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
-6%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.51
1.11
Our own ratings from every Reserve League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rosario Central Res. to win✗
37%
2.72
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.73
Draw no bet
Rosario Central Res. (draw no bet)
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Rosario Central Res. +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Unión Santa Fe Res. to score first
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Unión Santa Fe Res. / FT Unión Santa Fe Res.✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.90
–
Recent results
Unión Santa Fe Res. – last 6
WDWLDD
22 Apr
vs Colón Res.
3–1
W
14 Apr
@ Tigre Res.
0–0
D
7 Apr
vs San Lorenzo Res.
3–1
W
1 Apr
@ Vélez Sársfield Res.
0–4
L
27 Mar
vs River Plate Res.
2–2
D
18 Mar
@ Racing Club Res.
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rosario Central Res. – last 6
DWWWWL
21 Apr
vs Newell's Old Boys Res.
3–3
D
14 Apr
vs Atlético Tucumán Res.
2–1
W
7 Apr
@ Godoy Cruz Res.
3–2
W
2 Apr
vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2
1–0
W
25 Mar
@ Barracas Central Res.
3–0
W
17 Mar
vs Talleres Córdoba Res.
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Unión Santa Fe Res. and Rosario Central Res..
What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Rosario Central Res.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Rosario Central Res.?
On our numbers Unión Santa Fe Res. have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Rosario Central Res. 37%.
How many goals will there be in Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Rosario Central Res.?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Rosario Central Res.?
Our predicted score is Unión Santa Fe Res. 1–1 Rosario Central Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Rosario Central Res.?
Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Rosario Central Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
