Tigre Res. vs Sarmiento Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Wednesday 20 May: Tigre Res. v Sarmiento Res. in the Reserve League. In the table, Tigre Res. are 32nd, lower half, on 15 points after 17 matches; Sarmiento Res. are 15th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Tigre Res., last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Argentinos Juniors Res., away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Sarmiento Res., last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to San Lorenzo Res., at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tigre Res. 1.1 xG, Sarmiento Res. 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tigre Res. 42%, draw 29%, Sarmiento Res. 29%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tigre Res. 1–1 Sarmiento Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tigre Res.42%fair 2.37 · @2.00
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @2.90
Sarmiento Res.29%fair 3.43 · @3.50
2.10Expected goals
1.12Tigre Res. xG
0.98Sarmiento Res. xG
51%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Tigre Res. 1.1 – 1.0 Sarmiento Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tigre Res.
Sarmiento Res.
Attack vs Reserve League average
-13%
-27%
Goals conceded vs average
+27%
-13%
Our expected goals here
1.03
1.05
Our own ratings from every Reserve League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigre Res. to win✗
42%
2.37
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.85
Draw no bet
Tigre Res. (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Sarmiento Res. +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Tigre Res. to score first
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigre Res. / FT Tigre Res.✗
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.26
–
Recent results
Tigre Res. – last 6
LWWLDD
13 May
@ Argentinos Juniors Res.
0–2
L
7 May
vs Aldosivi Res.
2–1
W
28 Apr
@ Gimnasia La Plata Res.
2–1
W
21 Apr
vs Defensa y Justicia Res.
0–1
L
14 Apr
vs Unión Santa Fe Res.
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Atlético Tucumán Res.
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sarmiento Res. – last 6
LLLWDD
14 May
vs San Lorenzo Res.
1–2
L
6 May
@ Vélez Sársfield Res.
0–4
L
28 Apr
vs River Plate Res.
2–3
L
22 Apr
@ Atl. Rafaela 2
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ Racing Club Res.
1–1
D
9 Apr
vs Instituto Res.
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigre Res. and Sarmiento Res..
What is the prediction for Tigre Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Tigre Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
On our numbers Tigre Res. have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Sarmiento Res. 29%.
How many goals will there be in Tigre Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigre Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
Our predicted score is Tigre Res. 1–1 Sarmiento Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Tigre Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
Tigre Res. vs Sarmiento Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
