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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sarmiento Res. v Rosario Central Res.: numbers & prediction

Reserve League · Argentina
Sarmiento Res. 24%Draw 28%Rosario Central Res. 48% Expected goals 0.99 – 1.26
76%
Betarazi pick

Rosario Central Res. or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultRosario Central Res. to win ✓48% · @1.85
Double chanceRosario Central Res. or draw ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.10

Sarmiento Res. vs Rosario Central Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sarmiento Res. welcome Rosario Central Res. for a Reserve League fixture on Thursday 28 May (19:00 WAT). In the table, Sarmiento Res. are 15th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Rosario Central Res. are 13th (upper half) with 25. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sarmiento Res., last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Tigre Res., away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Rosario Central Res., last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Argentinos Juniors Res., at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sarmiento Res. 1.0 xG, Rosario Central Res. 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sarmiento Res. 24%, draw 28%, Rosario Central Res. 48%.
  • Lower-risk option: Rosario Central Res. or draw (76%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Rosario Central Res. or draw (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarmiento Res. 0–1 Rosario Central Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sarmiento Res.24%fair 4.09 · @3.70
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @3.00
Rosario Central Res.48%fair 2.10 · @1.85
2.25Expected goals
0.99Sarmiento Res. xG
1.26Rosario Central Res. xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–28%
1–28%

From our goals model: Sarmiento Res. 1.0 – 1.3 Rosario Central Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Sarmiento Res.Rosario Central Res.
Attack vs Reserve League average-27%+5%
Goals conceded vs average-13%+5%
Our expected goals here1.061.03

Our own ratings from every Reserve League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRosario Central Res. to win ✓48%2.101.85
Double chanceRosario Central Res. or draw ✓76%1.321.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.821.75
Draw no betRosario Central Res. (draw no bet) ✓66%1.51–
Asian handicapSarmiento Res. +1 (Asian handicap) ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreRosario Central Res. to score first ✓50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rosario Central Res. / FT Rosario Central Res. ✗24%4.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.10–

Recent results

Sarmiento Res. – last 6

WLLLWD
20 May@ Tigre Res.3–1W
14 Mayvs San Lorenzo Res.1–2L
6 May@ Vélez Sársfield Res.0–4L
28 Aprvs River Plate Res.2–3L
22 Apr@ Atl. Rafaela 21–0W
14 Apr@ Racing Club Res.1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Rosario Central Res. – last 6

LLDDDW
20 Mayvs Argentinos Juniors Res.1–2L
12 May@ Aldosivi Res.0–1L
6 Mayvs Gimnasia La Plata Res.0–0D
29 Apr@ Unión Santa Fe Res.1–1D
21 Aprvs Newell's Old Boys Res.3–3D
14 Aprvs Atlético Tucumán Res.2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento Res. and Rosario Central Res..

Sarmiento Res. vs Rosario Central Res. head-to-head page →

Reserve League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vélez Sársfield Res.201523+2947
2Boca Juniors Res.201235+2439
3Racing Club Res.211164+739
4River Plate Res.211146+937
5Independiente Res.191135+1936
6Lanús Res.191126+1335
7Newell's Old Boys Res.191045+934
8Quilmes 2181035+833
9Defensa y Justicia Res.18954+1432
10Atlético Tucumán Res.19937-230
11Unión Santa Fe Res.18783+429
12Estudiantes La Plata Res18846+928
13Argentinos Juniors Res.18774+628
14Belgrano Córdoba Res.18837-227
15Talleres Córdoba Res.18756+626
16Huracán Res.18756+626
17Rosario Central Res.18756+326
18Platense Res.18756-326
19Deportivo Riestra Res.18747+725
20Independiente Riva. Res.18738024
21Instituto Res.18594-124
22San Lorenzo Res.18666-224
23Gimnasia La Plata Res.18657+223
24Gimnasia Mendoza 218657-323
25Banfield Res.18657-423
26Ferro 218648-322
27Central Córdoba SdE Res.18549-1219
28Colón Res.185310-818
29Aldosivi Res.185310-1118
30Barracas Central Res.18459-1317
31Sarmiento Res.184410-1016
32Tigre Res.184410-1016
33Godoy Cruz Res.184311-1015
34Atl. Rafaela 2183312-1512
35Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2182511-2311
36San Martín San Juan Res.182214-438

More Reserve League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sarmiento Res. vs Rosario Central Res.?

Our pick is Rosario Central Res. or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Sarmiento Res. vs Rosario Central Res.?

On our numbers Sarmiento Res. have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Rosario Central Res. 48%.

How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Res. vs Rosario Central Res.?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Res. vs Rosario Central Res.?

Our predicted score is Sarmiento Res. 0–1 Rosario Central Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Sarmiento Res. vs Rosario Central Res.?

Sarmiento Res. vs Rosario Central Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Thursday 28 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.