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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Independiente Res. v Newell's Old Boys Res.: numbers & prediction

Reserve League · Argentina
Independiente Res. 45%Draw 26%Newell's Old Boys Res. 28% Expected goals 1.60 – 1.06
55%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultIndependiente Res. to win ✓45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.53

Independiente Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Independiente Res. welcome Newell's Old Boys Res. for a Reserve League fixture on Tuesday 2 June (19:00 WAT). In the table, Independiente Res. are 1st, leading the league, on 37 points after 16 matches; Newell's Old Boys Res. are 19th (lower half) with 20. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Independiente Res., last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Defensa y Justicia Res., away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Newell's Old Boys Res., last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Atl. Rafaela 2, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Newell's Old Boys Res., collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Independiente Res..

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Independiente Res. 1.6 xG, Newell's Old Boys Res. 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente Res. 45%, draw 26%, Newell's Old Boys Res. 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente Res. 1–1 Newell's Old Boys Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Independiente Res.45%fair 2.21 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @2.80
Newell's Old Boys Res.28%fair 3.54 · @3.00
2.66Expected goals
1.60Independiente Res. xG
1.06Newell's Old Boys Res. xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%

From our goals model: Independiente Res. 1.6 – 1.1 Newell's Old Boys Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Independiente Res.Newell's Old Boys Res.
Attack vs Reserve League average+57%+11%
Goals conceded vs average-22%-16%
Our expected goals here1.810.97

Our own ratings from every Reserve League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndependiente Res. to win ✓45%2.212.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.831.80
Draw no betIndependiente Res. (draw no bet) ✓62%1.62–
Asian handicapNewell's Old Boys Res. +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%1.99–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreIndependiente Res. to score first ✓56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Independiente Res. / FT Independiente Res. ✗30%3.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.53–

Recent results

Independiente Res. – last 6

DWLWWL
26 May@ Defensa y Justicia Res.1–1D
19 Mayvs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 25–0W
14 May@ Huracán Res.0–1L
5 Mayvs Ferro 21–0W
30 Apr@ Boca Juniors Res.1–0W
22 Aprvs Racing Club Res.1–2L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Newell's Old Boys Res. – last 6

WDWWWD
27 Mayvs Atl. Rafaela 23–0W
20 May@ Platense Res.1–1D
12 Mayvs Quilmes 22–0W
7 May@ Estudiantes La Plata Res2–0W
28 Aprvs Central Córdoba SdE Res.1–0W
21 Apr@ Rosario Central Res.3–3D
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Independiente Res. and Newell's Old Boys Res..

Independiente Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res. head-to-head page →

Reserve League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vélez Sársfield Res.201523+2947
2Boca Juniors Res.201235+2439
3Racing Club Res.211164+739
4River Plate Res.211146+937
5Independiente Res.191135+1936
6Lanús Res.191126+1335
7Newell's Old Boys Res.191045+934
8Quilmes 2181035+833
9Defensa y Justicia Res.18954+1432
10Atlético Tucumán Res.19937-230
11Unión Santa Fe Res.18783+429
12Estudiantes La Plata Res18846+928
13Argentinos Juniors Res.18774+628
14Belgrano Córdoba Res.18837-227
15Talleres Córdoba Res.18756+626
16Huracán Res.18756+626
17Rosario Central Res.18756+326
18Platense Res.18756-326
19Deportivo Riestra Res.18747+725
20Independiente Riva. Res.18738024
21Instituto Res.18594-124
22San Lorenzo Res.18666-224
23Gimnasia La Plata Res.18657+223
24Gimnasia Mendoza 218657-323
25Banfield Res.18657-423
26Ferro 218648-322
27Central Córdoba SdE Res.18549-1219
28Colón Res.185310-818
29Aldosivi Res.185310-1118
30Barracas Central Res.18459-1317
31Sarmiento Res.184410-1016
32Tigre Res.184410-1016
33Godoy Cruz Res.184311-1015
34Atl. Rafaela 2183312-1512
35Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2182511-2311
36San Martín San Juan Res.182214-438

More Reserve League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Independiente Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Independiente Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?

On our numbers Independiente Res. have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Newell's Old Boys Res. 28%.

How many goals will there be in Independiente Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Independiente Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?

Our predicted score is Independiente Res. 1–1 Newell's Old Boys Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Independiente Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?

Independiente Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Tuesday 2 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.