Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Independiente Res. to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLanús Res. to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.64
Lanús Res. vs Independiente Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Tuesday 9 June: Lanús Res. v Independiente Res. in the Reserve League. In the table, Lanús Res. are 2nd, among the top four, on 36 points after 16 matches; Independiente Res. are 1st (leading the league) with 37. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lanús Res., last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 7–1 win over Atl. Rafaela 2, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.5 goals per game.
Independiente Res., last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Newell's Old Boys Res., at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lanús Res. 1.8 xG, Independiente Res. 1.8 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lanús Res. 39%, draw 25%, Independiente Res. 36%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Independiente Res. to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lanús Res. 1–1 Independiente Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lanús Res.39%fair 2.58 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.90
Independiente Res.36%fair 2.77 · @3.00
3.56Expected goals
1.76Lanús Res. xG
1.81Independiente Res. xG
64%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Lanús Res. 1.8 – 1.8 Independiente Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lanús Res.
Independiente Res.
Attack vs Reserve League average
+70%
+57%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
-22%
Our expected goals here
1.82
2.05
Our own ratings from every Reserve League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lanús Res. to win✗
39%
2.58
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.67 ▲
Draw no bet
Lanús Res. (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Lanús Res. +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
First team to score
Independiente Res. to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente Res. / FT Independiente Res.✓
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.64
–
Recent results
Lanús Res. – last 6
WLWLWW
4 Jun
@ Atl. Rafaela 2
7–1
W
28 May
vs Platense Res.
0–2
L
19 May
@ Quilmes 2
2–0
W
14 May
vs Estudiantes La Plata Res
1–4
L
6 May
@ Central Córdoba SdE Res.
5–1
W
29 Apr
vs San Martín San Juan Res.
6–1
W
3.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Independiente Res. – last 6
WDWLWW
2 Jun
vs Newell's Old Boys Res.
1–0
W
26 May
@ Defensa y Justicia Res.
1–1
D
19 May
vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
5–0
W
14 May
@ Huracán Res.
0–1
L
5 May
vs Ferro 2
1–0
W
30 Apr
@ Boca Juniors Res.
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lanús Res. and Independiente Res..
What is the prediction for Lanús Res. vs Independiente Res.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Lanús Res. vs Independiente Res.?
On our numbers Lanús Res. have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Independiente Res. 36%.
How many goals will there be in Lanús Res. vs Independiente Res.?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lanús Res. vs Independiente Res.?
Our predicted score is Lanús Res. 1–1 Independiente Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Lanús Res. vs Independiente Res.?
Lanús Res. vs Independiente Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
