Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSan Lorenzo Res. to win ✗49% · @1.85
Double chanceSan Lorenzo Res. or draw ✓75% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85
San Lorenzo Res. vs Instituto Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Lorenzo Res. welcome Instituto Res. for a Reserve League fixture on Wednesday 10 June (19:00 WAT). In the table, San Lorenzo Res. are 17th, upper half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Instituto Res. are 20th (lower half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
San Lorenzo Res., last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Vélez Sársfield Res., at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Instituto Res., last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Atlético Tucumán Res., at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Lorenzo Res. 1.5 xG, Instituto Res. 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Lorenzo Res. 49%, draw 27%, Instituto Res. 25%.
Lower-risk option: San Lorenzo Res. or draw (75%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was San Lorenzo Res. or draw (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Lorenzo Res. 1–1 Instituto Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Lorenzo Res.49%fair 2.06 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @2.90
Instituto Res.25%fair 4.03 · @4.00
2.63Expected goals
1.51San Lorenzo Res. xG
1.12Instituto Res. xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: San Lorenzo Res. 1.5 – 1.1 Instituto Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
San Lorenzo Res.
Instituto Res.
Attack vs Reserve League average
-3%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
+18%
Our expected goals here
1.57
1.33
Our own ratings from every Reserve League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Lorenzo Res. to win✗
49%
2.06
1.85
Double chance
San Lorenzo Res. or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
San Lorenzo Res. (draw no bet)
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Instituto Res. +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
San Lorenzo Res. to score first✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Lorenzo Res. / FT San Lorenzo Res.✗
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
San Lorenzo Res. – last 6
LDLWDW
4 Jun
vs Vélez Sársfield Res.
0–1
L
28 May
@ River Plate Res.
1–1
D
19 May
vs Racing Club Res.
1–2
L
14 May
@ Sarmiento Res.
2–1
W
6 May
vs Argentinos Juniors Res.
2–2
D
30 Apr
@ Aldosivi Res.
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Instituto Res. – last 6
LWWLDD
3 Jun
vs Atlético Tucumán Res.
0–3
L
27 May
@ Vélez Sársfield Res.
3–2
W
21 May
vs Godoy Cruz Res.
2–1
W
14 May
@ River Plate Res.
0–1
L
5 May
vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2
0–0
D
30 Apr
@ Racing Club Res.
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Lorenzo Res. and Instituto Res..
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo Res. vs Instituto Res.?
Our pick is San Lorenzo Res. or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win San Lorenzo Res. vs Instituto Res.?
On our numbers San Lorenzo Res. have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Instituto Res. 25%.
How many goals will there be in San Lorenzo Res. vs Instituto Res.?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Lorenzo Res. vs Instituto Res.?
Our predicted score is San Lorenzo Res. 1–1 Instituto Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is San Lorenzo Res. vs Instituto Res.?
San Lorenzo Res. vs Instituto Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 10 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
