Value bet: UTC Cajamarca to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUTC Cajamarca to win ✓37% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.81
UTC Cajamarca vs Cusco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cusco travel to face UTC Cajamarca on Friday 13 February in the Primera División, with Estadio Heroes de San Ramon the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, UTC Cajamarca are 18th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 16 matches; Cusco are 10th (lower half) with 24. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UTC Cajamarca 1.4 xG, Cusco 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UTC Cajamarca 37%, draw 26%, Cusco 37%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: UTC Cajamarca to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: UTC Cajamarca 1–1 Cusco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UTC Cajamarca37%fair 2.69 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.10
Cusco37%fair 2.71 · @2.25
2.65Expected goals
1.37UTC Cajamarca xG
1.29Cusco xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: UTC Cajamarca 1.4 – 1.3 Cusco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
Attack vs Primera División average
-12%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
+25%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.55
1.34
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UTC Cajamarca to win✓
37%
2.69
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
UTC Cajamarca (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Cusco +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
UTC Cajamarca to score first✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UTC Cajamarca / FT UTC Cajamarca✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.81
–
Recent results
UTC Cajamarca
No recent results on record.
Cusco
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UTC Cajamarca and Cusco.
What is the prediction for UTC Cajamarca vs Cusco?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win UTC Cajamarca vs Cusco?
On our numbers UTC Cajamarca have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cusco 37%.
How many goals will there be in UTC Cajamarca vs Cusco?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UTC Cajamarca vs Cusco?
Our predicted score is UTC Cajamarca 1–1 Cusco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is UTC Cajamarca vs Cusco?
UTC Cajamarca vs Cusco (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
